美桀 5255 多 - 股票
By Todd Johnson
at 2018-07-02T10:00
at 2018-07-02T10:00
Table of Contents
1. 標的:美桀 5255
2. 分類:多
3. 分析/正文:
先說主題:我看好奇力新,所以買美桀
華新科賣的有點早了,小可惜,不過魚頭就留給高手吃吧,小弟資金也不夠多了
預估接下來漲勢奇力新可能會比華新科還來的多,那換標的也沒關係
6月開始進入晶片電阻需求旺季,目前庫存天數低於安全庫存45天,供需缺口
將持續至年底,18Q3將持續調漲電阻價格
奇力新自結5月EPS 1.15元,優於市場預期
18Q2合併美磊,18Q3減資3成,18Q4合併美桀
而Q4合併美桀時,將以1:0.503換股比例與奇力新進行股份轉換
隨著Q4時間漸進,美桀會與奇力新股價越來越接近,也就是說以現在價位來看
美桀88.4元,奇力新191元,用換股比例來看,美桀還少漲了8%
若以參與除權息,股利政策來看,奇力新股利1.95元,美桀2.46元
也就是說我可以用更少的錢來參與除權息賺更多的股利
預估奇力新2018合併美桀與美磊後,EPS上看接近20元
給予較高的本益比15倍,目標價300元
P.S 這檔建議要有耐心抱久點,畢竟除權息在即
4. 進退場機制:(非長期投資者,必須有停損機制)
進場價:今日已進場
退場價:想抱長期可以一路抱到合併時,不想的自己抓 不要再寄信來問我啦
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