紐西蘭央行:準備降息 - 美元

資料來源：
http://www.cnyes.com/CHN/finance/dspnewsCX.asp?fi=\NEWSBASE\20080605\WEB1804&vi=35622&date=20080605&time=15:53:27&pagetype=exchange&subtype=news&cls=finance_xr

新西蘭匯市:新西蘭元美元跌至三周低位,因央行年內可能降息
財匯資訊提供，摘自：路透社
2008 / 06 / 05 星期四 15:53


新西蘭元/美元週四挫跌至三周低位,因該國央行為年底前降息打開大門.


新西蘭央行一如預期維持利率在8.25%不變,但在月度貨幣聲明中稱,經濟放緩將遏制通膨,使今年降息成為可能.

聲明公佈後,新西蘭元兌美元應聲挫跌0.5美分,隨後繼續下滑,最終收低逾1.7%.

"(聲明)對新西蘭元的影響就好像央行已經開始降息了一般."高盛JBWere分析師Shamubeel Eaqub說.

0500GMT,新西蘭元/美元報0.7653/63美元,週三本地市場尾盤報0.7799/01.

收益率方面的吸引力下降,亦令新西蘭元/澳元跌至六年半低點0.8013澳元.新西蘭元兌一籃子貨幣<=NZD>下挫將近1.6%.

央行利率決定公佈後的路透調查顯示,15位經濟分析師中有14位預期升息不晚於9月,受訪者普遍認為該國利率年底將達到7.5%.

"預期新西蘭元在未來一年將大幅走軟,兌美元下挫的風險最大,尤其是如果美元獲得一定支撐的話."Eaqub說.









※ 引述《appedix (職場菜鳥)》之銘言：
: N.Z. Expects to Cut Key Rate From 8.25% This Year (Update1)
: June 5 (Bloomberg) -- New Zealand's central bank expects to cut the benchmark
: interest rate from a record 8.25 percent this year, saying a slump in spending
: and employment will reduce pressure on inflation. The nation's currency fell.
: ``We are now likely to be in a position to lower the official cash rate later
: this year,'' Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said in a statement released in
: Wellington today after he kept the rate unchanged. ``We expect inflation to
: return comfortably inside the target band over the medium term.''
: Bollard, who has kept borrowing costs unchanged since July, stalling domestic
: demand, says the economy contracted in the firth three months of this year.
: Retail sales and employment fell in the first quarter and house sales slumped
: in April to a 16-year low, adding to signs spending and inflation will slow.
: Kiwi slides on this dovish comment. now 0.7690 from 0.7802 before news

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