看看00672L如何賣了你 - 股票

By Yedda
at 2020-04-23T09:34
at 2020-04-23T09:34
Table of Contents
1. 標的:00672L 元大S&P原油正2
完整名稱是元大標普高盛原油ER單日正向2倍指數股票型期貨信託基金
2. 分類:心得
3. 分析/正文:
看看原油ETF如何賣了你 撰文者:股海筋肉人
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受到疫情影響,原油的暴跌成為近期投資人最關注的焦點之一,近月的原油期貨甚至還出
現負值、買油還送錢!而臺灣連結原油的ETF也成為了重災區。
與此同時,市場出現許多荒誕而令人不捨的現象,荒誕的是交易價格並不隨著淨值的滑落
而下跌,反而硬撐在某個價位,使得有心人士利用兩者間的價差大套其利;而令人不捨的
是,在有人大套其利的同時,留下來負責買單的卻是全市場散戶。
不難想見,若我是一位散戶投資人、看到新聞說油價變負,但用膝蓋想也知道這種情況不
會長時間維持,感覺現在正是時候買進原油、等待長線上漲的時刻,所以現在去找原油商
品買進正是時候,甚至還買兩倍槓桿的商品,賺得更快!
錯了,大大的錯了。以下做幾點解釋:
第一,還是原油商品的高溢價:你若是買進00672L,就是比買進期貨的人多花了三倍價,
這種價差相當於用賓士的價格買了現代汽車。
第二,00672L甚至還私自調降槓桿倍數:寫稿此日,他們的資產淨值約19.8億、但持有的
合約價值只有23.3億,所以精確的來說現在不應該叫做「元大原油正2」,而是應該叫做
「元大原油正1.18」。這會有什麼問題?不僅違反說明書內容,最大問題就是未來原油上
漲、這ETF的淨值也回不到當初水準了(因為部位也降了)。為什麼要這樣?因為元大知道
之後若原油繼續下跌、淨值成為負數,他們需要自己承擔,所以私自降風險。問題是這樣
對得起這個商品的投資人嗎?
第三,元大也違反了在公開說明書的28頁的轉倉規則-只能將近月合約轉倉至次近月合約
,而私自把合約轉到波動較小的遠月合約。元大動用特殊條款調整部位時不公告、讓人投
資的時候蒙受損失,之後油價大漲淨值也回不來。
第四,00672L高機率終究會下市,雖然金管會讓他續命了兩次、使它的別名變成了「元管
會正2」,但可能也只是讓原本可以用兩塊錢下市的它變成了以0.5元下市(甚至還更低)-
原本下市之後投資人每張能拿回的錢大概是兩千塊,現在剩下五百塊了。
總結以上,元大投信違反1.公開說明書貼近追蹤二倍。2.沒有公告動用了特殊條款調整。
3.不依照指數調整規則擅自轉倉至遠月合約。違反這些會不會被金管會以最近新聞「無法
繼續經營」為理由下市?
這東西不僅會有震盪耗損,還要面臨高昂的轉倉成本,都將對淨值造成不小的打擊,能否
撐到九月還是個大問題,持有的人不可不慎!
若喜歡我的文章請幫忙轉發,救救身邊有在買這種東西的朋友,以免更多人遇害!
4. 進退場機制:(非長期投資者,必須有停損機制)
不碰這類無良商品
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