現在就是標準的通膨反覆現象 - 股票QA
By Aaliyah
at 2023-03-30T18:15
at 2023-03-30T18:15
Table of Contents
講一點跟利率有關的
有本書叫「投資金律」,裡面有寫到一件事情我記得很清楚,
人類歷史上排除近代史,曾有過最大的帝國是羅馬帝國,
那羅馬帝國在鼎盛期,也就是天下太平的時候,境內的利率是幾%呢?
答案是4%。
因此本書的作者得出一個結論,那就是依人類歷史來看,最低的利率就是4%,
這邊我推衍出一個結論就是,只要低於4%的利率,一定有其特殊原因,
例如世界這幾十年來的低利率,跟中國用低廉勞動力來當世界工廠是有直接相關。
大家不要以為4%以上的利率是反常,照人類歷史來看,低於4%的利率才是異常。
也就近代30年左右的事情而已。
--
有本書叫「投資金律」,裡面有寫到一件事情我記得很清楚,
人類歷史上排除近代史,曾有過最大的帝國是羅馬帝國,
那羅馬帝國在鼎盛期,也就是天下太平的時候,境內的利率是幾%呢?
答案是4%。
因此本書的作者得出一個結論,那就是依人類歷史來看,最低的利率就是4%,
這邊我推衍出一個結論就是,只要低於4%的利率,一定有其特殊原因,
例如世界這幾十年來的低利率,跟中國用低廉勞動力來當世界工廠是有直接相關。
大家不要以為4%以上的利率是反常,照人類歷史來看,低於4%的利率才是異常。
也就近代30年左右的事情而已。
--
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