為什麼會有人相信技術分析這種蠢事 - 股票

By Megan
at 2018-12-19T22:52
at 2018-12-19T22:52
Table of Contents
一個簡單的概念
任何投資機會,多數人看到的都會是 報酬≒風險
低風險低報酬;高風險高報酬,幾乎是對等的關係。
依照人性,
任何明顯的「低風險、高報酬」機會只會出現非常短的時間就被搶進,
而進入風險與報酬對等的狀態。
而股票比的是誰能看到那沒人注意到的「低風險、高報酬」機會
因此那些「買進訊號」、「賣出訊號」真的看一看就好,
只要這些訊號準確率有穩定提高到 50% 以上,就馬上會被拿來套利,
然後這個指標就會失效
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