為什麼GME可以被放空到超過100% - 股票

By Rae
at 2021-01-29T12:16
at 2021-01-29T12:16
Table of Contents
※ 引述《Zzell (n/a)》之銘言:
: 就我的研究,因果關係不是這樣
: 造市商那部份原理是如此沒錯,但reddit爆掉跟SI ratio上升沒關係
: https://ycharts.com/companies/GME/shares_outstanding
: https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/GME/short-interest/
: 先看這個GME的總股數變化和放空數變化
: 可以看到2019年底之前,還有總股數還有100M左右,但之後就變成60M
: 而放空數一直都差不多
: 當時GameStop公司自己在市場上買回大量股票(可能是為了對抗空頭惡意放空)
: 所以導致總股數下降,新聞如下
: https://tinyurl.com/y4h4zdzq
: 但這之後空頭仍然沒有補回,即使股票掉到4塊錢5塊錢還是繼續持有部位,買進大量PU
T
: (Melvin Capital持有大量GME PUT)
: WSB就是發現這個現象才開始做研究,然後變成今天這個局面
另外一部分的原因在於空頭在無券可借後大量買 put賣 call
造市商為了 delta neutral必須相對應的放空股票,造市商為了 liquidity無券放空是被
允許的例外情形
另外提醒大家一下
目前為止都還是 gamma squeez,真正的 short squeez 還沒開始。 我估計今天盤中的低
點 空頭已經close不少明天到期 short call部位,避免違約。
同時今天在130-250之間大概有兩千萬成交量,如果 short interest從七千萬掉到 float
的100%之下 (目前是五千萬),空頭沒有補不到券壓力,那要軋死空頭就要靠鄉民 buy a
nd hold減少實際的 float跟把股價推到空頭槓桿利息撐不住的地步。困難度會比預計的
高。
結論就是要參與世紀軋空,記得要用短期不急用的資金。有可能下禮拜就飛高高,也有可
能軋不死!這幫人奧步太多!
--
: 就我的研究,因果關係不是這樣
: 造市商那部份原理是如此沒錯,但reddit爆掉跟SI ratio上升沒關係
: https://ycharts.com/companies/GME/shares_outstanding
: https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/GME/short-interest/
: 先看這個GME的總股數變化和放空數變化
: 可以看到2019年底之前,還有總股數還有100M左右,但之後就變成60M
: 而放空數一直都差不多
: 當時GameStop公司自己在市場上買回大量股票(可能是為了對抗空頭惡意放空)
: 所以導致總股數下降,新聞如下
: https://tinyurl.com/y4h4zdzq
: 但這之後空頭仍然沒有補回,即使股票掉到4塊錢5塊錢還是繼續持有部位,買進大量PU
T
: (Melvin Capital持有大量GME PUT)
: WSB就是發現這個現象才開始做研究,然後變成今天這個局面
另外一部分的原因在於空頭在無券可借後大量買 put賣 call
造市商為了 delta neutral必須相對應的放空股票,造市商為了 liquidity無券放空是被
允許的例外情形
另外提醒大家一下
目前為止都還是 gamma squeez,真正的 short squeez 還沒開始。 我估計今天盤中的低
點 空頭已經close不少明天到期 short call部位,避免違約。
同時今天在130-250之間大概有兩千萬成交量,如果 short interest從七千萬掉到 float
的100%之下 (目前是五千萬),空頭沒有補不到券壓力,那要軋死空頭就要靠鄉民 buy a
nd hold減少實際的 float跟把股價推到空頭槓桿利息撐不住的地步。困難度會比預計的
高。
結論就是要參與世紀軋空,記得要用短期不急用的資金。有可能下禮拜就飛高高,也有可
能軋不死!這幫人奧步太多!
--
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