消費卷發行~對台幣影響?? - 美元
By Kumar
at 2008-11-20T17:34
at 2008-11-20T17:34
Table of Contents
※ 引述《sdbbs (車子大修~心痛中)》之銘言:
: 誰能分析消費卷對台幣匯率影響??
: 印消費卷跟印錢 差不多嗎?
: vs 日圓
: vs 美元
: vs 歐元
理論上的東西我就收起來了 ~
消費券 目的是 救經濟
所以應以目的達成效果好壞的角度來看 而不是印消費券本身
如果不這麼做 一堆公司準備倒閉 一堆人準備失業 利率降到地上 通縮罩在頭上
情況如果發生 到時候匯率直探40也沒什麼好驚訝的
--
印消費券跟印錢的差別
消費券主要可以刺激你的消費慾望
你會去規劃" 要怎麼花 "
發錢的話 就變成是"補貼政策 "了
這兩者的目的 在金融財政工具的效用上 是不同的
政府沒宣導 搞的大家認為發錢比較好用 發什麼狗屁消費券
廢話 當然發錢比較好用 重點是發錢給大家作啥 ?
那每個人發100萬好不好 ?
還有一點
關於排富
當然不能排富阿
你知道給富人3600禮券 他會拿去百貨公司只花3600而已嗎?
如果不是富人 一定整票帶去買民生物資 或是算的剛剛好
總支出不會增加 產生本身現金積壓遞延的效果
--
至於VS日圓
VS美元
VS歐元
以台幣的角度 只要看USD就可以了 因為另外兩個都是跟美元換算出來的
要看的話 要觀察 USD/JPY 跟 EUR/USD 的表現
結論 : 重點在經濟前景
OVER~
--
黑蜘蛛兒
抽撕破網兒
PK兒
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/ekin520
--
: 誰能分析消費卷對台幣匯率影響??
: 印消費卷跟印錢 差不多嗎?
: vs 日圓
: vs 美元
: vs 歐元
理論上的東西我就收起來了 ~
消費券 目的是 救經濟
所以應以目的達成效果好壞的角度來看 而不是印消費券本身
如果不這麼做 一堆公司準備倒閉 一堆人準備失業 利率降到地上 通縮罩在頭上
情況如果發生 到時候匯率直探40也沒什麼好驚訝的
--
印消費券跟印錢的差別
消費券主要可以刺激你的消費慾望
你會去規劃" 要怎麼花 "
發錢的話 就變成是"補貼政策 "了
這兩者的目的 在金融財政工具的效用上 是不同的
政府沒宣導 搞的大家認為發錢比較好用 發什麼狗屁消費券
廢話 當然發錢比較好用 重點是發錢給大家作啥 ?
那每個人發100萬好不好 ?
還有一點
關於排富
當然不能排富阿
你知道給富人3600禮券 他會拿去百貨公司只花3600而已嗎?
如果不是富人 一定整票帶去買民生物資 或是算的剛剛好
總支出不會增加 產生本身現金積壓遞延的效果
--
至於VS日圓
VS美元
VS歐元
以台幣的角度 只要看USD就可以了 因為另外兩個都是跟美元換算出來的
要看的話 要觀察 USD/JPY 跟 EUR/USD 的表現
結論 : 重點在經濟前景
OVER~
--
黑蜘蛛兒
抽撕破網兒
PK兒
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/ekin520
--
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