本週德魯里貨櫃指數 - 股票
By Edith
at 2021-07-16T10:22
at 2021-07-16T10:22
Table of Contents
https://imgur.com/O9EY6z1.png
資料來源:
https://www.drewry.co.uk/supply-chain-advisors/supply-chain-expertise/world-container-index-assessed-by-drewry
短網址:
https://cutt.ly/mmKqb0z
綜合指數上漲 1%
上海-鹿特丹 1%
上海-洛杉磯 1%
洛杉磯-上海 2%
上海-紐約 1%
上海-熱諾瓦 0%
鹿特丹-上海 0%
紐約-鹿特丹 0%
鹿特丹-紐約 0%
上述四個持平的航線,雖然是0%,但是細看可以看到
上海-熱諾瓦以及鹿特丹-紐約還是小幅度成長,
只是成長幅度太小,忽略不計。
沒意外今天下午公布的SCFI指數還是漲的。
====以下為個人看法====
最近美國delta病毒肆虐以及英國接種率這麼高感染人數還是暴增情況下
這說明就算打完疫苗,病毒不會從世界上消失,
所以就要學習跟它共存
後疫情時代,打完兩劑甚至三劑,政府就會慢慢開放國境允許各國往來
到時候某個國家的某個港口要封港或作業效率低落這會成為日常的一部分
只要這個不確定性一直存在,航運就沒有悲觀的理由。
目前情況看來,明年貨櫃三雄營收續創新高可能性很大
明年有最多新船下水的,將會成為這波榮景的最大勝利者
也只有他能夠笑到最後,只是發酵需要時間。
這一波下殺,林杯還斗膽跟岳母借錢危機入市,
因為我很有信心,航運終究會續創新高
最近看了國外很多文章,短時間之內實在找不到航運會悲觀的理由。
真的要說的話只有一個,那就是黑天鵝。
至於會是什麼樣的黑天鵝這不是凡人如我所能夠揣摩的。
選擇我所相信的,然後放手一博。
--
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