有關equity curve - 財經

By Charlie
at 2015-08-29T20:02
at 2015-08-29T20:02
Table of Contents
※ 引述《poker119 (求)》之銘言:
: 最近在寫程式
: 然後看到這篇
: http://www.programtrading.tw/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=320
: 提到Trade Equity Curve
: 但是我實際測試一下
: 做了均線過濾
: 以及文中提及的跌破布林下緣就捨棄訊號的做法
: 但效果沒有很理想
: 想在這邊討論 有什麼比較好的做法嗎
Trade Equity Curve 並不是什麼新東西
Equity Curve本來就是 K線 的映射, 映射函數(策略)確定了之後,
K棒怎麼變化, 權益曲線當然就會有相對應的變化, 只是很簡單的mapping而已
真不理解怎麼會有人看著K棒會做單, 看著權益曲線就做不了單了
不過還是有更好的說法, 讓人更容易理解
示意圖:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/jc2bgfb4uptg0lx/EC.png?dl=0
大部分的權益曲線都可以畫成類似圖中的黑線, 往下叫風險 ,往上叫利潤
所謂的Trade Equity Curve只是在黑線走出我們不喜歡(或喜歡)的走勢的時候,
在某些位置進行干預的動作
何謂干預的動作 =====> 進行策略權重的改變 (Position Sizing)
何謂權重, 簡單講就是你的部位口數
參照上圖, 如線上的紅圈或是綠色三角形
例如你的網址藍色投機客所提的做法, 目的就是在決定紅色圈圈的位置
當碰到紅色圈圈的時候, 便進行策略的截斷 (停損/減碼)
風險跟獲利是一體兩面, 往下是風險, 往上是利潤, 當然我們也可以做出相對應的動作
也就是加碼
換個說法就沒那麼神奇了嗎? 說穿了Trade Equity Curve一樣是在做停損減碼加碼
這些老動作
策略沒變(原始權值都是一口,All In,黑線), 但是在Equity Curve上去變動部位數,
(Position Sizing)好讓權益曲線往下發展(風險)的速度減緩甚至截斷,
往上發展(利潤)的速度加速
以我目前在線的當沖策略為例
原始策略, 點進點出, 也就是上面所說的黑線(原始曲線)
<<HSI + HHI + A50>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/sfw2huwi02cs9t0/HKSSS1.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/qriy1aj0ru8cxbs/HKSSS11.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
<<YM + ES + NQ>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/0x3kbmts6l2hwk3/USSSS1.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/exulbex62mgpw7f/USSSS11.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
我知道, 很爛~ 尤其是美期, 那能看嗎?
怎麼運用 Trade Equity Curve 的概念??
在Equity Curve上方附近建立綠色三角形checkpoint, 碰到就加碼
(腦袋中馬上有遊戲畫面, 當賽車在賽道中奔馳的時候, 經過CheckPoint,
馬上就有悅耳的提示音效響起)
例如我簡單抓個昨日高低點當個近期震幅當參考 X = (HighD(1)-LowD(1))
, 假設我預計我這個當沖一天最多進場10次
開始建立綠色三角形CheckPoint
我完全沒有去動到我的原始策略! 僅靠 EntryPrice 來取得權益曲線的位置
第二次進場點 = Entryprice(0) + X/10
第三次進場點 = 第二次進場點 + X/10
餘類推 到第十次進場點, 碰到就加碼
立馬測試
<<HSI + HHI + A50>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/ztxerpy8wfv7nxf/HKSSS2.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/9fy50ike5nu5w4b/HKSSS22.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
<<YM + ES + NQ>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/l908pbmxiy1dqjc/USSSS2.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/6pj61y9kd6vw3wu/USSSS22.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
Profit Factor:
<<HSI + HHI + A50>> 1.76 ===> 2.99
<<YM + ES + NQ>> 1.63 ===> 2.83
(更新了一下HK22, 之前那個設定設錯了....難怪有遜一點...)
去看Equity Curve的前後變化, 感受一下綠色三角形開閘之後,
Equity Curve被往上拉抬的感覺
僅建立CheckPoint, 讓Equity Curve自行去衝撞, 撞到了就截斷減碼或加碼
這就是Trade Equty Curve
心法參考: 刀疤老二 順勢加碼篇
https://www.ptt.cc/man/Stock/D2A6/DDA/DC91/DCD0/M.1175649491.A.3F6.html
作法參考: 海龜
延伸思考: 多策略管理系統 多商品管理系統
如果你開了一個操盤公司, 手上有資金要分配給你旗下的操盤手, 你該怎麼做管理?
依照操盤績效拿到更高的額度? 會不會設定最高虧損上限?
==
以前以為當沖跟波段根本是兩回事....
玩到後面才發現原來根本一模一樣
當沖也是一樣~ 道理通了, 一隻策略就可以穿透這些商品
--
小台怡情 大台興家
--
: 最近在寫程式
: 然後看到這篇
: http://www.programtrading.tw/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=320
: 提到Trade Equity Curve
: 但是我實際測試一下
: 做了均線過濾
: 以及文中提及的跌破布林下緣就捨棄訊號的做法
: 但效果沒有很理想
: 想在這邊討論 有什麼比較好的做法嗎
Trade Equity Curve 並不是什麼新東西
Equity Curve本來就是 K線 的映射, 映射函數(策略)確定了之後,
K棒怎麼變化, 權益曲線當然就會有相對應的變化, 只是很簡單的mapping而已
真不理解怎麼會有人看著K棒會做單, 看著權益曲線就做不了單了
不過還是有更好的說法, 讓人更容易理解
示意圖:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/jc2bgfb4uptg0lx/EC.png?dl=0
大部分的權益曲線都可以畫成類似圖中的黑線, 往下叫風險 ,往上叫利潤
所謂的Trade Equity Curve只是在黑線走出我們不喜歡(或喜歡)的走勢的時候,
在某些位置進行干預的動作
何謂干預的動作 =====> 進行策略權重的改變 (Position Sizing)
何謂權重, 簡單講就是你的部位口數
參照上圖, 如線上的紅圈或是綠色三角形
例如你的網址藍色投機客所提的做法, 目的就是在決定紅色圈圈的位置
當碰到紅色圈圈的時候, 便進行策略的截斷 (停損/減碼)
風險跟獲利是一體兩面, 往下是風險, 往上是利潤, 當然我們也可以做出相對應的動作
也就是加碼
換個說法就沒那麼神奇了嗎? 說穿了Trade Equity Curve一樣是在做停損減碼加碼
這些老動作
策略沒變(原始權值都是一口,All In,黑線), 但是在Equity Curve上去變動部位數,
(Position Sizing)好讓權益曲線往下發展(風險)的速度減緩甚至截斷,
往上發展(利潤)的速度加速
以我目前在線的當沖策略為例
原始策略, 點進點出, 也就是上面所說的黑線(原始曲線)
<<HSI + HHI + A50>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/sfw2huwi02cs9t0/HKSSS1.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/qriy1aj0ru8cxbs/HKSSS11.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
<<YM + ES + NQ>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/0x3kbmts6l2hwk3/USSSS1.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/exulbex62mgpw7f/USSSS11.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
我知道, 很爛~ 尤其是美期, 那能看嗎?
怎麼運用 Trade Equity Curve 的概念??
在Equity Curve上方附近建立綠色三角形checkpoint, 碰到就加碼
(腦袋中馬上有遊戲畫面, 當賽車在賽道中奔馳的時候, 經過CheckPoint,
馬上就有悅耳的提示音效響起)
例如我簡單抓個昨日高低點當個近期震幅當參考 X = (HighD(1)-LowD(1))
, 假設我預計我這個當沖一天最多進場10次
開始建立綠色三角形CheckPoint
我完全沒有去動到我的原始策略! 僅靠 EntryPrice 來取得權益曲線的位置
第二次進場點 = Entryprice(0) + X/10
第三次進場點 = 第二次進場點 + X/10
餘類推 到第十次進場點, 碰到就加碼
立馬測試
<<HSI + HHI + A50>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/ztxerpy8wfv7nxf/HKSSS2.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/9fy50ike5nu5w4b/HKSSS22.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
<<YM + ES + NQ>>
https://www.dropbox.com/s/l908pbmxiy1dqjc/USSSS2.png?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/6pj61y9kd6vw3wu/USSSS22.png?dl=0
(Equity Curve)
Profit Factor:
<<HSI + HHI + A50>> 1.76 ===> 2.99
<<YM + ES + NQ>> 1.63 ===> 2.83
(更新了一下HK22, 之前那個設定設錯了....難怪有遜一點...)
去看Equity Curve的前後變化, 感受一下綠色三角形開閘之後,
Equity Curve被往上拉抬的感覺
僅建立CheckPoint, 讓Equity Curve自行去衝撞, 撞到了就截斷減碼或加碼
這就是Trade Equty Curve
心法參考: 刀疤老二 順勢加碼篇
https://www.ptt.cc/man/Stock/D2A6/DDA/DC91/DCD0/M.1175649491.A.3F6.html
作法參考: 海龜
延伸思考: 多策略管理系統 多商品管理系統
如果你開了一個操盤公司, 手上有資金要分配給你旗下的操盤手, 你該怎麼做管理?
依照操盤績效拿到更高的額度? 會不會設定最高虧損上限?
==
以前以為當沖跟波段根本是兩回事....
玩到後面才發現原來根本一模一樣
當沖也是一樣~ 道理通了, 一隻策略就可以穿透這些商品
--
小台怡情 大台興家
--
Tags:
財經
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