有人可以幫我規劃一下嗎? - 理財
By Olive
at 2011-02-24T06:41
at 2011-02-24T06:41
Table of Contents
有人可以幫我規劃一下嗎?
假設我得到一筆金額蠻大的錢,比一般正常人一輩子上班所能賺到的錢還多。
我打算好好利用這筆錢投資理財,讓我不再工作也能有比工作還多的被動收入。
也就是每年扣除通貨膨脹、投資費用(交易成本/手續費)和稅收後的報酬率能夠我生活之用。
這裡的通膨,還需要考慮到惡性通膨,而不是我假設一個常數。
也就是萬一物價上升100倍,我的被動收入也要至少增為100倍。
維持和原來一樣的購買力(實質收入)。
報酬率小沒關係,我的投資本金應該夠大。
但是我不想讓我的本金冒風險。
我可不打算等我老了,為了什麼莫名其妙的投資風險,造成本金縮水,又得回去工作看人臉色。
1.定存
不用說了,名目利率小於通貨膨脹,實質利率為負。
且固定利率無法對抗惡性通膨。
2.買房子出租
租金扣掉房子折舊和各種稅收成本後除以現在的房價,報酬率小於定存。
台灣人口自然增加率不斷下跌,再過不久就要人口負成長。未來房屋需求降低。
先有房子大致不變,又不斷有新建案增加房子。未來房屋供給將大於等於現在。
所以未來房租有可能再下跌。我可不想冒風險。
3.投資 股票 基金 投資型保單 結構型商品
我大概知道,十賭九輸。九成九的投資人賠錢。
我也知道我沒本事打敗大盤或創造絕對報酬。
但是買進全市場組合也非萬無一失。
2000/02/18 ~ 2001/09/26
2007/10/30 ~ 2008/11/21
全市場組合在上述日期一樣必虧。
另外全市場組合也並非長期一定穩賺,也是有擺越久套越久的可能。
市場沒有長期必定像上的必然性。
不是所有國家股市都像美國過去200年一樣好。
美國未來也未必像能像自己過去200年一樣好。
4. 儲蓄險 年金
固定利率型無法對抗惡性通膨。
投資型保單有投資風險。
利率變動型有給付金額上限,宣告利率,預定利率也有上限,無法對抗惡性通膨。
有人可以幫我規劃一下嗎?
--
假設我得到一筆金額蠻大的錢,比一般正常人一輩子上班所能賺到的錢還多。
我打算好好利用這筆錢投資理財,讓我不再工作也能有比工作還多的被動收入。
也就是每年扣除通貨膨脹、投資費用(交易成本/手續費)和稅收後的報酬率能夠我生活之用。
這裡的通膨,還需要考慮到惡性通膨,而不是我假設一個常數。
也就是萬一物價上升100倍,我的被動收入也要至少增為100倍。
維持和原來一樣的購買力(實質收入)。
報酬率小沒關係,我的投資本金應該夠大。
但是我不想讓我的本金冒風險。
我可不打算等我老了,為了什麼莫名其妙的投資風險,造成本金縮水,又得回去工作看人臉色。
1.定存
不用說了,名目利率小於通貨膨脹,實質利率為負。
且固定利率無法對抗惡性通膨。
2.買房子出租
租金扣掉房子折舊和各種稅收成本後除以現在的房價,報酬率小於定存。
台灣人口自然增加率不斷下跌,再過不久就要人口負成長。未來房屋需求降低。
先有房子大致不變,又不斷有新建案增加房子。未來房屋供給將大於等於現在。
所以未來房租有可能再下跌。我可不想冒風險。
3.投資 股票 基金 投資型保單 結構型商品
我大概知道,十賭九輸。九成九的投資人賠錢。
我也知道我沒本事打敗大盤或創造絕對報酬。
但是買進全市場組合也非萬無一失。
2000/02/18 ~ 2001/09/26
2007/10/30 ~ 2008/11/21
全市場組合在上述日期一樣必虧。
另外全市場組合也並非長期一定穩賺,也是有擺越久套越久的可能。
市場沒有長期必定像上的必然性。
不是所有國家股市都像美國過去200年一樣好。
美國未來也未必像能像自己過去200年一樣好。
4. 儲蓄險 年金
固定利率型無法對抗惡性通膨。
投資型保單有投資風險。
利率變動型有給付金額上限,宣告利率,預定利率也有上限,無法對抗惡性通膨。
有人可以幫我規劃一下嗎?
--
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