最後的逃命波 - 股票
By Victoria
at 2020-03-25T00:42
at 2020-03-25T00:42
Table of Contents
真正的蕭條(depression)開始有點預兆的時候,真的也讓人感覺滿鬱悶(depressed)的
你賺多少錢也開心不起來
1. 無限QE不是無限發錢,是FED看情況、看他爽,不設限的想買就買
BUT,很多奇怪的債,利率照樣飆升...怎麼沒什麼平息下來的兆頭
BBB債券真的會被降評嗎?(抖)
還是信評機構會被河蟹成功,看在地球份上放他們一馬?
2. 真正通過議會的只有2兆美金,全美發錢一人撒1000美金(3萬台幣有個屁用)
其他都拿去救醫院、市政府、企業,救企業的還被民主黨砍價
美國家庭平均欠信用卡債7000美金(21萬台幣)
美國有6800萬人,總共欠了1兆美金卡債
在景氣繁榮的最高點中槍,我是對這些人槓桿大小沒什麼信心....
3. 美國的消費佔比佔GDP 67%,這些消費都是廣大平民刷卡撐的
他們開槓桿樂天的消費,突然間全部變成緊縮
全球多少國家多少工人靠美國消費吃穿
4. 川普不太想搞完全封鎖,他想要以最快時間解封,否則經濟會垮
怎麼有種進退皆死的fu,希望還有時間的時候有人能夠勸成功他
等一下搞到11月選不上總統,台灣人會變成 囧 之臉
5. 股市已經露餡了,非常多的機構和投資人都在抓疫情的「反曲點」(不是最高峰)
這個東西才是真指標
但是採樣與統計誤差亂七八糟,鬼才知道真正的反曲點在哪裡
不知道該講啥,天佑地球
諸位同胞,活下去真的,冬天還很長
活下去
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