景氣指標vs台股指數 - 股票

Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2017-05-26T15:36

Table of Contents





敢在這時候放空的人絕對是_____!

不多發表心得,免得版上有人又挑語病靠北!


週期:55個月

1985M11 15 771
1985M12 22
1986M01 21
1986M02 19
1986M03 33
1986M04 28
1986M05 29
1986M06 37
1986M07 34
1986M08 39
1986M09 36
1986M10 36
1986M11 38
1986M12 37
1987M01 36
1987M02 40
1987M03 32
1987M04 41
1987M05 39
1987M06 38
1987M07 34
1987M08 36
1987M09 37
1987M10 31
1987M11 35
1987M12 32
1988M01 29
1988M02 33
1988M03 28
1988M04 27
1988M05 31
1988M06 30
1988M07 30
1988M08 31
1988M09 28
1988M10 29
1988M11 33
1988M12 32
1989M01 36
1989M02 34
1989M03 40
1989M04 39
1989M05 34
1989M06 30
1989M07 32
1989M08 27
1989M09 24
1989M10 25
1989M11 24
1989M12 25
1990M01 23
1990M02 27 12495.34
1990M03 21
1990M04 20
1990M05 17 7848



週期:56個月

1991M03 19 4781
1991M04 20
1991M05 23
1991M06 24
1991M07 29
1991M08 27
1991M09 27
1991M10 30
1991M11 30
1991M12 28
1992M01 29
1992M02 29
1992M03 28
1992M04 28
1992M05 24
1992M06 25
1992M07 25
1992M08 25
1992M09 22
1992M10 25
1992M11 21
1992M12 24
1993M01 19
1993M02 23
1993M03 24
1993M04 20
1993M05 20
1993M06 17
1993M07 21
1993M08 22
1993M09 23
1993M10 24
1993M11 21
1993M12 27
1994M01 32
1994M02 29
1994M03 26
1994M04 30
1994M05 30
1994M06 32
1994M07 30
1994M08 33
1994M09 34
1994M10 36 7183.75
1994M11 39
1994M12 31
1995M01 30
1995M02 34
1995M03 30
1995M04 29
1995M05 28
1995M06 25
1995M07 23
1995M08 21
1995M09 22
1995M10 15 5041


週期:23個月

1996M07 19 6205
1996M08 20
1996M09 24
1996M10 22
1996M11 26
1996M12 28
1997M01 26
1997M02 24
1997M03 31
1997M04 24
1997M05 24
1997M06 28
1997M07 30 10116.84
1997M08 26
1997M09 31
1997M10 26
1997M11 28
1997M12 29
1998M01 23
1998M02 27
1998M03 25
1998M04 20
1998M05 19 8226


週期:21個月

1999M03 16 6677
1999M04 20
1999M05 22
1999M06 25
1999M07 24
1999M08 23
1999M09 19
1999M10 26
1999M11 26
1999M12 28
2000M01 32
2000M02 30
2000M03 29
2000M04 28 10186.17
2000M05 29
2000M06 27
2000M07 26
2000M08 28
2000M09 28
2000M10 23
2000M11 17 5525


週期:63個月

2003M05 14 4319
2003M06 20
2003M07 24
2003M08 26
2003M09 29
2003M10 31
2003M11 30
2003M12 34
2004M01 35
2004M02 34
2004M03 36
2004M04 37
2004M05 39
2004M06 36
2004M07 35
2004M08 33
2004M09 32
2004M10 29
2004M11 28
2004M12 26
2005M01 23
2005M02 23
2005M03 22
2005M04 20
2005M05 18
2005M06 20
2005M07 19
2005M08 23
2005M09 23
2005M10 24
2005M11 24
2005M12 27
2006M01 28
2006M02 28
2006M03 23
2006M04 23
2006M05 24
2006M06 21
2006M07 21
2006M08 22
2006M09 22
2006M10 20
2006M11 21
2006M12 16
2007M01 18
2007M02 19
2007M03 23
2007M04 18
2007M05 20
2007M06 25
2007M07 30
2007M08 30
2007M09 32
2007M10 32 9809.88
2007M11 28
2007M12 29
2008M01 29
2008M02 27
2008M03 26
2008M04 27
2008M05 22
2008M06 20
2008M07 16 7127


週期:27個月

2009M08 18 6855
2009M09 20
2009M10 26
2009M11 37
2009M12 37
2010M01 38
2010M02 38
2010M03 39
2010M04 39
2010M05 37
2010M06 37
2010M07 38
2010M08 38
2010M09 37
2010M10 34
2010M11 32
2010M12 34
2011M01 34 9145.35
2011M02 34
2011M03 31
2011M04 29
2011M05 27
2011M06 25
2011M07 23
2011M08 20
2011M09 21
2011M10 19 7345


週期:33個月

2012M08 15 7409
2012M09 20
2012M10 19
2012M11 21
2012M12 22
2013M01 19
2013M02 20
2013M03 18
2013M04 17
2013M05 19
2013M06 23
2013M07 20
2013M08 20
2013M09 20
2013M10 21
2013M11 21
2013M12 24
2014M01 22
2014M02 25
2014M03 25
2014M04 29
2014M05 24
2014M06 26
2014M07 27
2014M08 29
2014M09 27
2014M10 24
2014M11 25
2014M12 22
2015M01 23
2015M02 24
2015M03 22
2015M04 16 9679 / 9973.12


週期:? 個月

2016M04 17 8567
2016M05 20
2016M06 20
2016M07 23
2016M08 25
2016M09 23
2016M10 24
2016M11 26
2016M12 28
2017M01 29
2017M02 28
2017M03 24
2017M04 21
2017M05 20
2017M06 22
2017M07 22
2017M08 25
2017M09 28
2017M10 23
2017M11 23
2017M12 22
2018M01 20 11005 / 11270.2
2018M02 24


--
Tags: 股票

All Comments

Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2017-05-28T02:03
低調...
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2017-05-29T22:48
高度正相關
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2017-06-02T05:07
小英的開局真的很好啊~
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2017-06-07T04:10
跨模
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2017-06-08T02:14
大樂透號碼
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2017-06-11T22:01
不過1989跟其他次崩盤不太一樣 景氣已經衰退 大盤卻
創高
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2017-06-12T05:30
這次不一樣
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2017-06-14T07:31
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2017-06-16T21:01
2015年也是衰退初期創新高
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2017-06-16T23:07
你這個用宏觀的角度看是對的,但是上升的過程還是會
有痛痛的拉回
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2017-06-17T08:43
指標領先 指數領先??
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2017-06-21T02:47
可是上上個月是掉的 上個月還沒公布 應該是今天
他每次都很晚才公布 要到快下班吧
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2017-06-25T12:06
有公告今天延到5:30
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2017-06-26T22:50
這指標有問題的地方是他每月都會往回修正前幾期數值
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2017-06-30T22:10
景氣不好 台股一定不好 但是台股好的時候景氣也不
好XD
Una avatar
By Una
at 2017-07-03T04:18
sorry~ 這是燈號,燈號我不確定但領先指標會修正
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2017-07-07T10:48
最大在一月 現在往下了
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2017-07-09T04:22
十三個月轉折~~ 不交代一下 怎麼說得過去~~ (炫哥
腔)
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2017-07-10T12:52
推easychen內行
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2017-07-15T03:29
外資好聰明
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2017-07-18T02:05
你穴軍喔~
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2017-07-19T16:19
4月的出來了,數值是21。
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2017-07-23T20:34
放假回來驗證,這篇別刪作為參考
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2017-07-26T02:57
不會刪!等你們空軍^^
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2017-07-27T22:28
https://goo.gl/xm1LHt 景氣燈號變黃藍燈 有點不妙
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2017-07-28T19:15
多空交戰
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2017-07-30T01:54
看來有人解讀的方向很妙...哈哈哈哈..我一定不刪
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2017-08-04T00:34
反正你看多就是了.我事先看空.
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2017-08-04T05:25
看來有人沒有把內文數據給看清楚...哈哈
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2017-08-04T19:40
為啥你不把每個月的股價都標上去 而只挑某幾個月的?
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2017-08-09T04:43
我只抓週期最前、最後、最高...
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2017-08-09T23:37
空軍氣勢大增
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2017-08-13T23:46
有數字給推 如果可以 標多點股價上去 特殊再用顏色y
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2017-08-16T08:31
只能說數據解讀,應該不是像空軍想的那樣...
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2017-08-17T12:21
不論數據怎樣,持多單的人看多,持空單的人看空
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2017-08-22T08:18
不論漲跌都有說法,但方向只有一個
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2017-08-25T21:24
有趣 我列完圖表確實背離 但我不曉得該如何解讀
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2017-08-28T04:18
這個的bug就是燈號會晚快兩個月公布啊
指數當天收盤就有了 可是燈號要一個半月後
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2017-08-29T07:00
你等公佈完做程表當然準 要用公佈時間
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2017-08-31T04:19
要用公佈時間+1
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2017-09-01T17:26
喔 股神 要不要拿去發表可以得諾貝爾奬
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2017-09-06T15:59
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2017-09-10T01:34
我看不懂.... 有白話點嗎?
Una avatar
By Una
at 2017-09-14T03:41
某樓只會酸..莫非你有更好的參考方法?
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2017-09-18T09:18
原來真的會變這樣,魔鬼真的藏在細節裏,佩服
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2017-09-19T09:52
21分是會漲還是會跌?
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2017-09-22T15:24
我看不懂,不會酸。
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2017-09-24T12:19
看不董 但大盤還有上漲空間啦
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2017-09-28T07:14
你們都這樣認為,大概就可安心了
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2017-09-29T15:37
不過散戶持股和大盤脫勾嚴重
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2017-10-02T01:54
拜託可以明確說你多或空 點數多少
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2017-10-06T05:59
問題是下個月搞不好開始往上22 25 28...30 32 33..
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2017-10-06T07:38
謝謝多一個參考指標..不過近期低點在2015.08
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2017-10-07T02:19
當時景氣指標就是從201507~201601盤底往上對照股市
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2017-10-09T09:17
201201開始燈號往上到201208反轉..股市也是一路往上
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2017-10-12T07:24
當時做了股市作2-3個月修正開始跟燈號背離..這次..
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2017-10-15T14:15
如果燈號繼續探底或盤底,或許會有一波修正吧
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2017-10-16T06:25
修正完畢後 或許就是台股穩站萬點上的時候了

George avatar
By George
at 2017-05-26T13:55
--------------------------------------------- 1. 標的:大盤,全押0050 2. 分類:多 3. 分析/正文: 我認為....我認為啦, 吹過泡泡的人,可以觀察到一個現象, 泡泡越大,泡泡水在表面形成的顏色就越燦爛、炫麗,但也越容易破掉, 破掉前的 ...

施俊吉:台股萬點成起點

Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2017-05-26T13:45
1.原文連結(超過一行或過長必須縮網址): https://udn.com/news/story/7251/2486094 2.原文內容: 台股昨(25)日攻克10,100點,終場收10,108點,創17年新高。台灣證交所董事長施俊吉 表示,台股本波萬點,內外資共襄盛舉,且 ...

興櫃 棒辣椒6468 多 注意風險

Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2017-05-26T11:44
------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1.發文前請先詳閱[標的]分類發文規範,未依規範發文將受處份。 2.發標的文未充實內文,多空理由不充實者,板規1-1-5或4-4處份 3.進退場機制若非長期投資, ...

全球四大經典泡沫史回顧

Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2017-05-26T11:12
小妹我的股版首發!! ・圖片取自股感知識庫:https://goo.gl/wcPFGl https://i.imgur.com/mdCRWAx.png https://i.imgur.com/ZwWlXpJ.png https://i.imgur.com/BxEBC84.png https://i.im ...

2618長榮航

Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2017-05-26T10:46
不要寄信給我了= = 我不負責你們的損益 我只能說我的想法 目前長榮航我是沒打算出場拉 從14.3開始長榮航黑手據守,倒多少吃多少 勢必黑手有決心要死守住這個價格 如果跳空我一定會加碼進場 目前大盤拉高,長榮航持續向上,這樣我更放心持有三個月上到除權了 畢竟外資內資倒貨如果無法突破14.3低點,長榮航應該 ...