明起迎接第一波反彈 - 股票
By Bethany
at 2020-03-17T15:08
at 2020-03-17T15:08
Table of Contents
※ 引述《hong888 (自自冉冉 崩崩潰潰)》之銘言:
: 今天當然是出貨日,所以開盤就把週五搶反彈的穩懋.原相全數獲利出場,
: 開完盤隨即台股一波拉抬,
: 一時心中幹意又來了,馬上搜尋放空標的
: 於是在9~10點放空了玉晶光/原相
: 原因:蘋果關門市/相對弱勢彈不起來
: http://i.imgur.com/Oe7xd7k.jpg
: http://i.imgur.com/C0EvQ4s.jpg
: 未來預測:今晚美股預期是崩盤,明天台股恐持續急跌趕底,
: 但同樣的,須觀察美股期指動向做出靈活反應
: 至於長空何時才叫落底,等下有時間再寫,不急還早
依據我的短線操作model,
早上美股期指漲到融斷,
顯示今天應該是空單回補+搶反彈的走勢
不料,大盤經過一波拉抬後,又回到了下行走勢,
亞股都在權衡美股-3000與+800之間要落在什麼點位,
所以我的空單少賺了,同時搶反彈標的也套牢了,哭哭
唯看法不變,明天起應該會開啟自3月崩跌以來第一波的反彈
原因
1.今晚美股反彈可期
2.跌3000點利空出盡了,除非跌4000點,不然不能更恐慌了
3.油價反彈,VIX下跌
4.今天台股主要個股量能都放大了,應該有人進了
5.殺融資
6.空方氣焰太盛
7.時間空間都逼近於反彈的時點
通常來說,空頭市場的反彈,應該會由跌最深的反彈最兇,可以把握(如被動元件...)
觀察美股是否能夠突破"一根紅再一根長黑破底"的慣性,連漲個3-4天吧
當然,明天若無反彈,或反彈無力
也會自我了斷,切勿自溺
--
: 今天當然是出貨日,所以開盤就把週五搶反彈的穩懋.原相全數獲利出場,
: 開完盤隨即台股一波拉抬,
: 一時心中幹意又來了,馬上搜尋放空標的
: 於是在9~10點放空了玉晶光/原相
: 原因:蘋果關門市/相對弱勢彈不起來
: http://i.imgur.com/Oe7xd7k.jpg
: http://i.imgur.com/C0EvQ4s.jpg
: 未來預測:今晚美股預期是崩盤,明天台股恐持續急跌趕底,
: 但同樣的,須觀察美股期指動向做出靈活反應
: 至於長空何時才叫落底,等下有時間再寫,不急還早
依據我的短線操作model,
早上美股期指漲到融斷,
顯示今天應該是空單回補+搶反彈的走勢
不料,大盤經過一波拉抬後,又回到了下行走勢,
亞股都在權衡美股-3000與+800之間要落在什麼點位,
所以我的空單少賺了,同時搶反彈標的也套牢了,哭哭
唯看法不變,明天起應該會開啟自3月崩跌以來第一波的反彈
原因
1.今晚美股反彈可期
2.跌3000點利空出盡了,除非跌4000點,不然不能更恐慌了
3.油價反彈,VIX下跌
4.今天台股主要個股量能都放大了,應該有人進了
5.殺融資
6.空方氣焰太盛
7.時間空間都逼近於反彈的時點
通常來說,空頭市場的反彈,應該會由跌最深的反彈最兇,可以把握(如被動元件...)
觀察美股是否能夠突破"一根紅再一根長黑破底"的慣性,連漲個3-4天吧
當然,明天若無反彈,或反彈無力
也會自我了斷,切勿自溺
--
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