日經:日本與AZ協商修改合約 疫苗直送台灣 - 股票
By Rae
at 2021-05-29T17:56
at 2021-05-29T17:56
Table of Contents
1. AZ疫苗對於高齡或是男性來說副作用都是可以接受的範圍,血栓機率極低
而且只好發在年輕女性身上
2. AZ疫苗是有三期數據的,而且是目前全球施打最廣泛的一支疫苗
3. 韓國施打的紀錄來看,對於亞洲人血栓的機率似乎真的是很低
4. 韓國目前紀錄來看,就算老人只打一針也可以有86%效力
要知道Covid-19最重要的就是對於高齡人口極其致命,重症率雙北接近10%
一旦老人防護牆建立起來,基本上危機就解除一半了
5. AZ目前比較有問題的"似乎"是對於變種株的抗性較其他家為低
不過也只是估計,就像我之前說的,只是用中和抗體去和競品推估而已
所以願意分配的話,基本上就是高齡者直接打一圈AZ
把Moderna或其他(假如有的話....)留給中齡以下的女性施打
假如AZ真的能有個千萬劑,台灣零售業似乎可以看到這個黑暗期的盡頭了
畢竟AZ效力就是擺在那邊,臨床和實戰成果也擺在那邊
對於一支一針86%效力的疫苗,你可以更好的估算資源消耗和可承受風險
目前自發性高強度的軟性封城其實蠻容易擦槍走火到電子或晶圓廠裡面
而很多電子廠晶圓廠都有外籍勞工朋友,他們因為外地工作思鄉所以喜歡群聚
你要他們這樣隔離是撐不久的
此外,因為軟性封城的原因,變成實體零售業非常尷尬
你開也不是不開也不是,開的話少了美食街賺的錢就變很少,但不開營損就在那邊
目前看起來是越爛越噴,但是這個狀況久了,經濟體一定會打擊很大
台灣目前看起來越爛越噴,那是因為受益於貨幣寬鬆加上國外消費信心回穩
可是台灣還有多少空間可以繼續寬鬆或是撒幣下去? 去年已經撒一堆了
這種內需消費崩盤的狀況除非繼續撒錢,不然你會看到經濟成長萎縮
結論是日本這批疫苗要是真能談成持續供應,真的利多
※ 引述《ilovetaida (TAIDA)》之銘言:
: https://tinyurl.com/45dhynuu
: 自由時報
: 2021/05/29 15:33
: 編譯魏國金
: 好消息!日經:日本與AZ協商修改合約 疫苗直送台灣
: 日本經濟新聞報導,日本厚生勞動省正與阿斯特捷利康(AZ)藥商協商,修改合約條款,
: 讓AZ疫苗得以出貨到台灣。
: 報導說,日本與該藥商簽署1.2億劑疫苗採購合約,合約內容包含禁止疫苗轉移至其他目
: 的地之條款,在許多武漢肺炎(新型冠狀病毒病,COVID-19)疫苗的合約上可發現該明文
: 規定。
: 報導說,日本已確保約2.4億劑輝瑞與莫德納疫苗,足供日本1.2億人民施打。日本內閣官
: 房長官加藤勝信(Katsunobu Kato)說:「我們考慮將多餘疫苗供應給其他國家與地區」
: ,亦即考慮出貨至台灣。
: 心得:
: 這才是真的台日友好 患難見真情
: 人民關天 每天都在死人 到八月會死幾千個台灣人
: 中央如果再把他擋掉,草菅人命,破碎幾千個家庭
: 就去死死吧
: 人民要的是性命, 人民不care你他媽的什麼國產疫苗
: 操
: 最後 疫苗能盡速進台灣,對台股應是利多,V行反轉
--
而且只好發在年輕女性身上
2. AZ疫苗是有三期數據的,而且是目前全球施打最廣泛的一支疫苗
3. 韓國施打的紀錄來看,對於亞洲人血栓的機率似乎真的是很低
4. 韓國目前紀錄來看,就算老人只打一針也可以有86%效力
要知道Covid-19最重要的就是對於高齡人口極其致命,重症率雙北接近10%
一旦老人防護牆建立起來,基本上危機就解除一半了
5. AZ目前比較有問題的"似乎"是對於變種株的抗性較其他家為低
不過也只是估計,就像我之前說的,只是用中和抗體去和競品推估而已
所以願意分配的話,基本上就是高齡者直接打一圈AZ
把Moderna或其他(假如有的話....)留給中齡以下的女性施打
假如AZ真的能有個千萬劑,台灣零售業似乎可以看到這個黑暗期的盡頭了
畢竟AZ效力就是擺在那邊,臨床和實戰成果也擺在那邊
對於一支一針86%效力的疫苗,你可以更好的估算資源消耗和可承受風險
目前自發性高強度的軟性封城其實蠻容易擦槍走火到電子或晶圓廠裡面
而很多電子廠晶圓廠都有外籍勞工朋友,他們因為外地工作思鄉所以喜歡群聚
你要他們這樣隔離是撐不久的
此外,因為軟性封城的原因,變成實體零售業非常尷尬
你開也不是不開也不是,開的話少了美食街賺的錢就變很少,但不開營損就在那邊
目前看起來是越爛越噴,但是這個狀況久了,經濟體一定會打擊很大
台灣目前看起來越爛越噴,那是因為受益於貨幣寬鬆加上國外消費信心回穩
可是台灣還有多少空間可以繼續寬鬆或是撒幣下去? 去年已經撒一堆了
這種內需消費崩盤的狀況除非繼續撒錢,不然你會看到經濟成長萎縮
結論是日本這批疫苗要是真能談成持續供應,真的利多
※ 引述《ilovetaida (TAIDA)》之銘言:
: https://tinyurl.com/45dhynuu
: 自由時報
: 2021/05/29 15:33
: 編譯魏國金
: 好消息!日經:日本與AZ協商修改合約 疫苗直送台灣
: 日本經濟新聞報導,日本厚生勞動省正與阿斯特捷利康(AZ)藥商協商,修改合約條款,
: 讓AZ疫苗得以出貨到台灣。
: 報導說,日本與該藥商簽署1.2億劑疫苗採購合約,合約內容包含禁止疫苗轉移至其他目
: 的地之條款,在許多武漢肺炎(新型冠狀病毒病,COVID-19)疫苗的合約上可發現該明文
: 規定。
: 報導說,日本已確保約2.4億劑輝瑞與莫德納疫苗,足供日本1.2億人民施打。日本內閣官
: 房長官加藤勝信(Katsunobu Kato)說:「我們考慮將多餘疫苗供應給其他國家與地區」
: ,亦即考慮出貨至台灣。
: 心得:
: 這才是真的台日友好 患難見真情
: 人民關天 每天都在死人 到八月會死幾千個台灣人
: 中央如果再把他擋掉,草菅人命,破碎幾千個家庭
: 就去死死吧
: 人民要的是性命, 人民不care你他媽的什麼國產疫苗
: 操
: 最後 疫苗能盡速進台灣,對台股應是利多,V行反轉
--
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