新紓困方案難產!末日博士警告:美經濟 - 股票
By Lauren
at 2020-08-03T17:53
at 2020-08-03T17:53
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3247510
2.原文內容:
〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕美國國會本週未能針對新1輪紓困措施達成共識,曾準確預測2008年金融海嘯、有「末日博士」之稱的紐約大學經濟學教授魯比尼(Nouriel Roubini)近日痛批,美國國會議員們是在「玩火」,在人們對經濟復甦的擔憂已開始加劇之際,這可能導致另1次經濟衰退。魯比尼還警告,美國經濟恐演變成「雙底衰退」,甚至出現經濟大蕭條。
《Yahoo Finance》報導,儘管民主黨人和共和黨人承諾將針對新1輪紓困措施繼續談判,但美國政府給予因疫情失業者每週600美元的額外失業津貼,已在週五(7月31日)過後正式失效,這恐令約3000萬領取此失業救濟金的美國人民陷入財務危機。
魯比尼受訪時警告,除非政府盡力挽救和提高私營部門的收入,否則美國經濟將急劇放緩,他認為美國經濟從今年上半年急劇下墜中迅速復甦的V型反彈,可能變成U型反彈,還可能變成雙底衰退,中期而言,甚至可能出現經濟大蕭條,「因此,我們沒有達成紓困協議是在玩火」。
魯比尼指出,在紓困方面,目前美國國會、執政當局都陷入僵局,但在經濟活動似乎陷入停滯之際,這不是個好兆頭,隨著確診病例增加,企業和消費者的不確定性都在日益成長。
魯比尼認為,在未來幾個月,美國仍需推出至少1.5兆美元規模的重大財政刺激方案,否則美國經濟將進一步放緩,「人們的收入仍受制於經濟活動緩慢、失業率高漲的事實。聯準會正在盡自己的1份力量,但比起貨幣政策,現在對人們來說,更重要的是他們的薪資收入」。
魯比尼表示,要讓收入增加,可以透過失業救濟金、更多的薪資保護計劃(PPP)貸款、援助州和地方政府、發放食物券、支持醫療保健等形式來實現,「我們仍需公共部門的大力提振,因為私營部門正在去槓桿化,家庭和企業支出減少、儲蓄增加、資本支出減少、住宅投資也減少」。
3.心得/評論:
崩崩~
紓困難產=破產=失業
道瓊下看14000
GoGoGo~
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