微型小道瓊09 - 股票
By Ophelia
at 2020-07-22T23:32
at 2020-07-22T23:32
Table of Contents
1. 標的:微型小道瓊09
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得
請益 用來分享美國DJ~ ya~~~
3. 分析/正文:
疫情方面~ 第二波疫情本來 "不失控就好"~ 可是...
目前美國一天6w人 ~ 日本600人~ 香港60人 ~ 的速度在走~也就是說 目前依舊負偏沒降~
negative skew~ https://tinyurl.com/y6rfk95u ~ 現在跟2-3月那時的情況 完全不同...
台灣選擇蓋牌?!香港蹲完 下一個就是台灣蹲了~ (比照SARS經驗不意外~
客觀來說 應該算是"失控了"~ 畢竟沒有疫苗抗體 又高度傳染力 試想沒打疫苗預防針
你敢出國??? 慘的是物品方面 ~ 只要國家 有出口有進口 依附貨物上的病毒 目前無法
可管 真正會去測的也不多... 也期待年底的疫苗跟藥物產出能有好消息~ 抗疫 加油...
經濟方面~
現實上 恢復的比想像的緩慢... 看機場出入境人數就懂...
再舉日本來說:今日747例新冠病例~ 創下單日新增紀錄~ 首相安倍:目前的入境規定將延長
至 8月底~ 比較值得注意的是最近 部份經理人又開始拋售股票資產(關注重點)
或有一波 送分題的千點調整~ 加上 最近美元貶值的狀況 加深了調整美元計價商品的操作
十年債收益 長期低下 加上黃金 九年高... 避險情緒濃厚ing...
講重點就是 八月能利好股市的機會並不高~ 修正"找支撐"或"盤整區間"機會來的比較高~
再來就是重點啦~道瓊指數方面...
小道彭于晏預計 26805 遇壓會先整理~ 等收斂到26667 出方向(橘線)~
https://invst.ly/rj4nm (走紅線還是藍線任務呢?
關察第一個關卡是26265-26207年線點位 如果輕鬆跌破失守就有機會迎來送分修正波~
目前 26420-26523 以上走多 跌破就小心~ 做多不戀戰~ 畢竟科技股 總會獲利下車...
(若年線有守 一直不破...記得尊重趨勢 不硬凹年線點位...可找其他利好商品...)
倘若跌破25070-25360 幾天內沒拉回~ 就要小心地獄的門 全開了~
25070-25174-"25360"關鍵支撐點位~
波段區間: 28142-27850- 26805-26265-26000-25789-25531-25360-25174-24800
近月預測以上...歡迎眾多網友 酸粉幫忙驗證~ 打臉也行~ 也記得 按讚 訂閱 開啟小叮噹
--
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得
請益 用來分享美國DJ~ ya~~~
3. 分析/正文:
疫情方面~ 第二波疫情本來 "不失控就好"~ 可是...
目前美國一天6w人 ~ 日本600人~ 香港60人 ~ 的速度在走~也就是說 目前依舊負偏沒降~
negative skew~ https://tinyurl.com/y6rfk95u ~ 現在跟2-3月那時的情況 完全不同...
台灣選擇蓋牌?!香港蹲完 下一個就是台灣蹲了~ (比照SARS經驗不意外~
客觀來說 應該算是"失控了"~ 畢竟沒有疫苗抗體 又高度傳染力 試想沒打疫苗預防針
你敢出國??? 慘的是物品方面 ~ 只要國家 有出口有進口 依附貨物上的病毒 目前無法
可管 真正會去測的也不多... 也期待年底的疫苗跟藥物產出能有好消息~ 抗疫 加油...
經濟方面~
現實上 恢復的比想像的緩慢... 看機場出入境人數就懂...
再舉日本來說:今日747例新冠病例~ 創下單日新增紀錄~ 首相安倍:目前的入境規定將延長
至 8月底~ 比較值得注意的是最近 部份經理人又開始拋售股票資產(關注重點)
或有一波 送分題的千點調整~ 加上 最近美元貶值的狀況 加深了調整美元計價商品的操作
十年債收益 長期低下 加上黃金 九年高... 避險情緒濃厚ing...
講重點就是 八月能利好股市的機會並不高~ 修正"找支撐"或"盤整區間"機會來的比較高~
再來就是重點啦~道瓊指數方面...
小道彭于晏預計 26805 遇壓會先整理~ 等收斂到26667 出方向(橘線)~
https://invst.ly/rj4nm (走紅線還是藍線任務呢?
關察第一個關卡是26265-26207年線點位 如果輕鬆跌破失守就有機會迎來送分修正波~
目前 26420-26523 以上走多 跌破就小心~ 做多不戀戰~ 畢竟科技股 總會獲利下車...
(若年線有守 一直不破...記得尊重趨勢 不硬凹年線點位...可找其他利好商品...)
倘若跌破25070-25360 幾天內沒拉回~ 就要小心地獄的門 全開了~
25070-25174-"25360"關鍵支撐點位~
波段區間: 28142-27850- 26805-26265-26000-25789-25531-25360-25174-24800
近月預測以上...歡迎眾多網友 酸粉幫忙驗證~ 打臉也行~ 也記得 按讚 訂閱 開啟小叮噹
--
Tags:
股票
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