市場將面臨一場隕石效應 - 股票
By Barb Cronin
at 2020-03-22T17:41
at 2020-03-22T17:41
Table of Contents
可以說我危言聳聽 但我只想當個吹哨者
所以說說我的看法
以三個月的眼界來看
全球中小企業正在面對疫情所帶來的現金流面臨窒息的危機
一向養尊處優的歐洲人,不出門消費,面臨比二戰以來最嚴峻的生活水平
浪費資源成習慣且豪放的米國人個個變成宅男腐女
亞洲更不用講了,台灣現在連轉機都不轉了,新加坡自閉,日本意外的平安(未爆或真不
爆)
韓國靠著優良的體質撐住了,中國自傷五十傷人壹百,其它的地方印度、印尼及東亞中亞
,伊朗已爆其它待爆中
可顯而易見的全球固有消費習慣將大大的改變,奢侈品及非民生必需品,需求必定大幅度
的下降
深深衝擊全球市場基本面,這一兩季市場將面臨比2008更高更強更狠的金融衝擊
有別於2008的信貸所產生的蝴蝶效應
疫情帶來的硬衝擊,可以稱之為隕石效應,必將全球市場的撞離應有的軌道
短中期來看大企業可以靠著股東分散風險接受衝擊,那全球的中小企業呢?尤其是現金流
短的公司,預判再兩至三個月全球疫情沒消退的話
隕石效應 即將來襲
(真心希望未來不是我想的這樣悲觀)
有玩過瘟疫公司的人都知道,這游戲的失敗的結局是全球合作的疫苗開發完成,其它活著
的人倖存
至於破關結局是
--
所以說說我的看法
以三個月的眼界來看
全球中小企業正在面對疫情所帶來的現金流面臨窒息的危機
一向養尊處優的歐洲人,不出門消費,面臨比二戰以來最嚴峻的生活水平
浪費資源成習慣且豪放的米國人個個變成宅男腐女
亞洲更不用講了,台灣現在連轉機都不轉了,新加坡自閉,日本意外的平安(未爆或真不
爆)
韓國靠著優良的體質撐住了,中國自傷五十傷人壹百,其它的地方印度、印尼及東亞中亞
,伊朗已爆其它待爆中
可顯而易見的全球固有消費習慣將大大的改變,奢侈品及非民生必需品,需求必定大幅度
的下降
深深衝擊全球市場基本面,這一兩季市場將面臨比2008更高更強更狠的金融衝擊
有別於2008的信貸所產生的蝴蝶效應
疫情帶來的硬衝擊,可以稱之為隕石效應,必將全球市場的撞離應有的軌道
短中期來看大企業可以靠著股東分散風險接受衝擊,那全球的中小企業呢?尤其是現金流
短的公司,預判再兩至三個月全球疫情沒消退的話
隕石效應 即將來襲
(真心希望未來不是我想的這樣悲觀)
有玩過瘟疫公司的人都知道,這游戲的失敗的結局是全球合作的疫苗開發完成,其它活著
的人倖存
至於破關結局是
--
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