寶成 獲利創歷史新高 - 股票

By Thomas
at 2021-05-19T10:38
at 2021-05-19T10:38
Table of Contents
1. 標的: (9904.TW 寶成)
2. 分類:多
3. 分析/正文:
a. 寶成第一季 EPS 2.13元,創下歷史單季新高,轉投資的南山人壽營運越來越旺
,緩升息趨勢帶動保險業獲利貢獻持續攀升
b. 本業製鞋,獲利大幅改善,毛利率也超越2019年的疫情前水準,對客戶漲價
帶動ASP 年成長8.7%
營收占比接近80%的客戶,為歐美品牌業者,隨著歐美解封趨勢
下半年看到的客戶需求越來越好,目前產能接近滿載
大客戶NIke 以及 Addidas 法說會中,都對今明後年的營運展望相當樂觀
主要受惠於疫情後,人類更重視健康帶動運動鞋的需求上升
Addidas 預期未來四年 營收的年均複合成長達10%,成長動能明確強勁
C. 國內主要券商目前預估,寶成2021年獲利能做到接近5元水準
身為世界製鞋龍頭,目前本益比僅7倍
相較其歷史水準約10~13倍為相當被低估的狀態
D. 籌碼面: 投信在疫情後,部位接近清空歸零,但最近兩日都有大買狀況
主力大戶以及外資則持續站在買方,融資水位也很低
籌碼越來越穩定
4. 進退場機制:較適合長期投資,今年內可望隨著獲利穩定攀升而挑戰50元水準
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