安鈦克 6276 - 股票QA

By Heather
at 2023-06-20T22:08
at 2023-06-20T22:08
Table of Contents
1. 標的: 安鈦克 6276
2. 分類:多
3. 分析/正文:
大家好 我是韭a
有鑑於前一篇可寧衛
很多人反應我在這位階意圖使人抬轎
我想了一下就打算把另一隻我的持股分析寫出來
即是安鈦克
如果這位階還有人不滿意 那就一樣 不喜歡就不要跟 然後繼續CD一年以後再發文了
發文沒錢還要被酸 實在是很讓人洩氣
以下正文:
會知道安鈦克是因為跟朋友想玩暗黑
想跟朋友自組一台電腦
閒聊聊到Cooler Master 但這個電競品牌沒有上市上櫃
後來研究了一下 就找到了 Antec 安鈦克這個品牌
以下個人報告給主委們供參:
安鈦克主要產品其實就是自有品牌 Antec PC機殼
主要通路亞洲為主(62%) 歐美相加(30%)
4月新上市的高階機殼 一上市就在Amazon賣到斷貨
研究了一下這個產品 Performance 1 FT
如果以電競跟diy自組市場 應該是會是非常強勁的產品也有望透過此產品拉高市占率
公司產品主要如下
1. 機殼
2. PC的電源供應器 (雖然公司說也有賣到其他市場 但看起來占比很低)
3. CPU液冷跟氣冷
4.記憶體模組
我個人認為
機殼+電源+散熱 都是今年正確的題材
從近幾年的數據來看
2021 / 2022應該是因為缺料+外部成本(EX:航運)+PC需求減弱造成
2020年PC需求大的時候 EPS整年有到3.54
搭配PC已經落底 Q3 Q4 應該開始復甦來看
安鈦克應該有機會吃到這波復甦+新產品擴充市占
而且我個人喜歡自有品牌的公司
(雖然從獲利方式來看 他應該是找代工廠貼牌 沒有自己工廠)
但他的毛利今年Q1已經拉到32.92% (歷史最高 )
說明應該此品牌走在正確道路上
如果以2020年 毛利率全年平均22.7%左右來看
"假設"今年全年能維持33%左右的毛利率 我認為今年全年有機會摸到4~5元的機會
他常態本益比在Trade在15-18倍
預估區間在
15*4=60
18*4=72
現在股價38.7我認為還有50-70%的成長幅度
技術面剛創高以後回檔震盪
停損不難抓 請自行思考
4. 進退場機制:
已進場佈局一段時間
停利:60元左右開始分批出
停損:前波低破 約33左右
持股數量不好說 想跟單的請自行參考
--
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