如何觀察? - 股票

By Carol
at 2009-05-02T01:12
at 2009-05-02T01:12
Table of Contents
※ 引述《nightwind209 (夜風)》之銘言:
: 通常是以大盤的量跟紅K跟黑K來觀察接下來可能的走勢
: 以sun大文中一段敘述
: -----------------------------------------------------
: 因為 2) 出現了 => 向下整理後,星期三出現了一個量縮短K,跌勢停住。
: 因此 ==> 空單全補,預測大盤將有反彈。
: -----------------------------------------------------
: 想問的是縮量短K這種不是一天盤結束後才會明確嗎?
: (像前幾週有過開高 直到盤尾直接殺到底 盤中我是看不出會跌...)
: 這樣應該沒法作交易了吧?
: 還是說比較有經驗在盤中就得作出判斷了呢?
: 謝謝
================
向下整理後,星期三出現了一個量縮短K,跌勢停住。
因此 ==> 空單全補,預測大盤將有反彈。
================
純討論大家看看就好
所有大大的言論 都必須自己證實過才算數
試問有多少人自己肉眼回測過
94/01/05 94/03/16 96/01/26 96/03/03(這天外資放假) 95/05/17 91/01/14
還有太多太多 哪一天不是量縮止跌(相對)
結果真的有止跌嬤
技術分析上 我反而解釋成
"量縮短K未必會止跌 甚至還有可能再大殺一段"就變的非常好用
假如手上有波段空單
加碼或著續抱就是一個標準的 "大賺小賠的操作"
或著手上沒單看多
這裡買進的話 隔天只要再殺就知道可以停損出場了
(至少知道自己不順勢)
講到盤中的判斷
老實說 頂多等他殺不下去用"猜"的
我在4/26仍然"確信"認為會過前高6071
4/27早盤開高就要拉沒有拉 雖然懷疑 我還是等到大殺整盤我才認定"可能看錯了"
盤中就做猜測 絕對會讓自己的週期更混亂而已
猜 是分析師做的事情
操作上 我的經驗
照著自己週期內的規劃 就是作正確的事情
(百分之百必須忽略小週期的變化)
簡單講 盤中覺得會殺(拉) 就等殺了再說
不要還沒殺(拉)就把自己當神
原則 dd推文講的很清楚了 順勢還是不二法門
有趨勢挺 就單純的相信他
(順勢是機率勝方最大的保證)
--
: 通常是以大盤的量跟紅K跟黑K來觀察接下來可能的走勢
: 以sun大文中一段敘述
: -----------------------------------------------------
: 因為 2) 出現了 => 向下整理後,星期三出現了一個量縮短K,跌勢停住。
: 因此 ==> 空單全補,預測大盤將有反彈。
: -----------------------------------------------------
: 想問的是縮量短K這種不是一天盤結束後才會明確嗎?
: (像前幾週有過開高 直到盤尾直接殺到底 盤中我是看不出會跌...)
: 這樣應該沒法作交易了吧?
: 還是說比較有經驗在盤中就得作出判斷了呢?
: 謝謝
================
向下整理後,星期三出現了一個量縮短K,跌勢停住。
因此 ==> 空單全補,預測大盤將有反彈。
================
純討論大家看看就好
所有大大的言論 都必須自己證實過才算數
試問有多少人自己肉眼回測過
94/01/05 94/03/16 96/01/26 96/03/03(這天外資放假) 95/05/17 91/01/14
還有太多太多 哪一天不是量縮止跌(相對)
結果真的有止跌嬤
技術分析上 我反而解釋成
"量縮短K未必會止跌 甚至還有可能再大殺一段"就變的非常好用
假如手上有波段空單
加碼或著續抱就是一個標準的 "大賺小賠的操作"
或著手上沒單看多
這裡買進的話 隔天只要再殺就知道可以停損出場了
(至少知道自己不順勢)
講到盤中的判斷
老實說 頂多等他殺不下去用"猜"的
我在4/26仍然"確信"認為會過前高6071
4/27早盤開高就要拉沒有拉 雖然懷疑 我還是等到大殺整盤我才認定"可能看錯了"
盤中就做猜測 絕對會讓自己的週期更混亂而已
猜 是分析師做的事情
操作上 我的經驗
照著自己週期內的規劃 就是作正確的事情
(百分之百必須忽略小週期的變化)
簡單講 盤中覺得會殺(拉) 就等殺了再說
不要還沒殺(拉)就把自己當神
原則 dd推文講的很清楚了 順勢還是不二法門
有趨勢挺 就單純的相信他
(順勢是機率勝方最大的保證)
--
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股票
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