大盤 - 股票
By Faithe
at 2020-09-15T23:54
at 2020-09-15T23:54
Table of Contents
1. 標的:大盤
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得:以盤代跌整理成功/注意千點以上上漲行情
3. 分析/正文:大盤在七月多時陷入兩個多月的拉回整理,這次拉回只拉回到12144
即告反彈,原本盤頭的疑慮目前來看已有轉化為高檔頭肩底的機會,
前兩天則出現了一個相當重要的訊號,那就是台指選擇權vix大幅下跌,
這代表市場避險需求已然大為降低,外資則有明顯歸隊現象,
不只代表這次的盤整拉回下方支撐力道強勁,也代表法人捍衛台股低點的決心
接下來呢? 我認為行情化頭為底後,可望趁著年底前拉出一波像樣的作帳行情,
特別是外資被軋空手了大半年,基於衝刺績效因素勢必會大量回籠台股,
這會是一個相當可觀的買盤,加上內資也相互照應,國際股市近期趨勢偏多,
短期內不致連續重挫,電子股再度轉為強勢下,行情可望再度拉出像樣漲勢,
預估目標點落在14000附近
4. 進退場機制:突破且站穩12900頭肩底頸線,可追價建立持股,
今年高點13031若再站上,則會確立下一波大多頭的行情,有機會一路走到年底
高點目標:14000
停損:12450
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