大盤 - 股票

By Iris
at 2020-01-05T23:39
at 2020-01-05T23:39
Table of Contents
1. 標的:大盤
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得:短線注意震盪與變盤拉回,小心操作
3. 分析/正文:目前盤勢雖仍維持多頭格局,但上周五的盤中爆量創高拉回
以及波動率的快速升高,金融開始強於電子,外資在現貨買超力道衰減,
期貨選擇權的避險單反向增加,已經讓行情未來的走向產生變數.
日線開始出現指標背離,日K線也在高檔整理十多天才創高,或許有人又會說
11月初到12月初不也是盤整多時才發動更大波攻勢嗎? 問題並非每次都能如此不是?
之前那次是有很強的籌碼型態加持(外資現期貨的強力作多+散戶在現期貨不斷放空
引爆軋空)可這次的籌碼型態相較於上次卻是明顯偏弱,加以本月為9319上來第13個月,
漲多過後到了現在這個水位會不會發現波段較大拉回下修? 我們也必須去提防這點,
也許短線行情還可能再度創高,也許這個大型修正不會那麼快發生,
但是盤面的慣性改變與震盪加劇卻也讓風險愈來愈大,操作難度愈來愈高,
這點務必小心以對
4. 進退場機制:短線暫時停止加碼,特別是追漲加碼,反而建議逐步調節短線走弱
或超漲股,持股水位降至60-70%左右,11960這個點若是跌破,
則建議把持股進一步砍到40%以下,只留比較穩健的股票,或買進台50反一避險
多方波段停損點/波段轉弱點參考:11700
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Tags:
股票
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