大盤 - 股票
By Damian
at 2017-10-01T09:49
at 2017-10-01T09:49
Table of Contents
※ 引述《ddk (創造天份)》之銘言:
: ※ 引述《aitt (非主流,有何不可(M))》之銘言:
: http://imgur.com/e2qRcjm
: 先試想一下這個位置的風險報酬比率,(往上 10,500 or 往下9850)
: 個人看法
: 1. 在走到中期上升趨勢線的壓力位置,預期有震盪甚至於會有回檔的可能性,
: 都遠比期待出量突破上升軌道壓力線的機率來的大。
: 2. 以波浪理論推算,現在的位置大概已處於3-3的噴出段末端,3-4的回檔也會
: 受傷的,推論有可能會到 9,500 (-7%),那是否短期應該要保守以對?
: 3. 至於散戶態度是樂觀還是悲觀,八大行庫的觀察可能還是有必要的,但我的
: 解讀也不認為散戶看空呀....
: http://imgur.com/zxwa4jl
再化繁為簡一下,我還是覺得現在的位置真的有點高..
有興趣的朋友可以統計一下在高點的位置平均停留多久的時間,
現在台股的位階是已經經過多少時間?
https://i.imgur.com/eV9OZh8.jpg
但是有點懶的說太多,覺得高風險為什麼就一定要有空單?
--
: ※ 引述《aitt (非主流,有何不可(M))》之銘言:
: http://imgur.com/e2qRcjm
: 先試想一下這個位置的風險報酬比率,(往上 10,500 or 往下9850)
: 個人看法
: 1. 在走到中期上升趨勢線的壓力位置,預期有震盪甚至於會有回檔的可能性,
: 都遠比期待出量突破上升軌道壓力線的機率來的大。
: 2. 以波浪理論推算,現在的位置大概已處於3-3的噴出段末端,3-4的回檔也會
: 受傷的,推論有可能會到 9,500 (-7%),那是否短期應該要保守以對?
: 3. 至於散戶態度是樂觀還是悲觀,八大行庫的觀察可能還是有必要的,但我的
: 解讀也不認為散戶看空呀....
: http://imgur.com/zxwa4jl
再化繁為簡一下,我還是覺得現在的位置真的有點高..
有興趣的朋友可以統計一下在高點的位置平均停留多久的時間,
現在台股的位階是已經經過多少時間?
https://i.imgur.com/eV9OZh8.jpg
但是有點懶的說太多,覺得高風險為什麼就一定要有空單?
--
Tags:
股票
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