外資喊650快成真 台積電飆570元新天價 - 股票
By Ina
at 2021-01-08T08:35
at 2021-01-08T08:35
Table of Contents
台積電美股TSMC ADR
昨晚收盤價在121.43 換算成台股
(121.43*27.5)/5 = 667.86
台股台積電收盤價在565
(667.86-565)/565=18%
等於說目前美股台積電溢價18%
照之前的觀察都會收斂到15%內
所以保守來說近期要碼台積電
667.86-(15/100*565) = 583.11 漲到583.11
要碼美股TSMC ADR 跌下來
大家要選那個?
如果激進一點 看好的話 收斂到10% 台積電近期就要破600了
假設今年台積電EPS 20 股價600 本益比就30
之前台積電平均本益比我抓高一點算20
台股最大權值股本益比都可以30
本益比漲了1.5倍
表示其他個股 依比率來說
至少相關產業的本益比都要拉高了
如果這樣推算台股16000一定可以到 甚至在一月底前破萬七萬八 都不是沒有可能
各位覺得呢?
我是覺得今年台股上兩萬應該指日可期了
--
昨晚收盤價在121.43 換算成台股
(121.43*27.5)/5 = 667.86
台股台積電收盤價在565
(667.86-565)/565=18%
等於說目前美股台積電溢價18%
照之前的觀察都會收斂到15%內
所以保守來說近期要碼台積電
667.86-(15/100*565) = 583.11 漲到583.11
要碼美股TSMC ADR 跌下來
大家要選那個?
如果激進一點 看好的話 收斂到10% 台積電近期就要破600了
假設今年台積電EPS 20 股價600 本益比就30
之前台積電平均本益比我抓高一點算20
台股最大權值股本益比都可以30
本益比漲了1.5倍
表示其他個股 依比率來說
至少相關產業的本益比都要拉高了
如果這樣推算台股16000一定可以到 甚至在一月底前破萬七萬八 都不是沒有可能
各位覺得呢?
我是覺得今年台股上兩萬應該指日可期了
--
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