四巫日 盤後淺談 - 股票
By Una
at 2020-03-21T07:02
at 2020-03-21T07:02
Table of Contents
先講結論 美國四巫日不意外的 盤中拉高 殺尾盤
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小道瓊期結算日 美國當天不能交易
台版道瓊期 只能交易到13:45(UTC+8)
美國道瓊期 只能交易到夏令21:30(UTC+8) 冬令22:30(UTC+8)
根據券商網站 算出(3/20)小道瓊結算價 20255.53
https://reurl.cc/qdml5p
https://imgur.com/ZwcrPr5
由於與現貨巨大的逆價差
小道瓊期留倉保證金的都被殺得很慘
當然這些留倉的 盤前認為道瓊會強力反彈
盤中拉高 是為了營造溢價差 這樣結算就會有盈餘
所以會看到 12點前 其實是有拉抬跡象
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那為什麼尾部會跳水呢?
其實這個不一定,不過以歷史經驗
四巫日會導致震幅加劇
當時市場又在空頭恐慌時期
投資人會出貨避免震幅擴大造成不必要虧損
尤其尾盤最後 成交量會放大
尾盤會加劇 殺尾盤機率比較高
其實尾盤一小時 有大戶明顯拉抬
但撐不到最後 由於已經跌深 趨勢向下
投資人信心不足 更加劇倒貨保本跡象
就一路到-913點收盤
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