台積電空 - 股票

By Dora
at 2021-01-22T19:31

Table of Contents

1. 標的：台積電空

2. 分類：空

3. 分析/正文：

在昨天就有po文看空大盤了,
(等於看空台積電)
因此這兩天都有放空小台, 對帳單如下：

R: [標的] 大盤空 https://moptt.tw/p/Stock.M.1611294732.A.C17

但前兩天發文發太快, 我現在來補充原因
台積電不是飆股, 只要短線正乖離過大
未來幾天都會拉回
Ex:
2020/07/27-7/28的開盤
2020/11/16-11/17的開盤
2021/01/15的開盤
2021/01/21

01/21也就是昨天, 是我覺得最誇張的一天
技術面乖離太大, 市場全面樂觀, 法人都在賣方
個人認為昨天開始試單放空大盤勝率很高
如果被短嘎, 也會加空

還好今天就跌下去了, 當然我也順勢加空大盤
對於下禮拜台積走勢的看法
我覺得禮拜二以前就會跌破五日線了
然後我就會再加碼放空

技術分析：

https://i.imgur.com/ner4b24.jpg

可以把台積電的走勢倒過來看
把紅k當綠k
可以看出短線負乖離過大
今天出量下引線打底是準備反轉跡象
代表下禮拜台積會加速大跌

4. 進退場機制：
停利：台積電跌破月線
停損：不用不會輸

題外話：
從今天的盤勢可以看出來
台積電跌對很多股票都是好事
所以今天也做多許多跌深反彈的個股

未來的劇本應該是：
台積電大跌其他股漲
我小台空單和個股都賺錢

如果不幸的是台積電大跌
其他個股出現系統性下跌
那我的個股和小台空單就可以抵消

因為自己劇本是以台積電會大跌為出發點
所以就不探討台積大漲
其他股票大跌的劇本了

--

Tags: 股票

All Comments

By Ula
at 2021-01-25T00:39

對帳單？

By Rebecca
at 2021-01-29T22:31

的確乖離過大回檔修正才走的遠

By Tracy
at 2021-02-02T00:36

不會輸

By Andrew
at 2021-02-04T06:26

台積如果現在會大跌甚麼股票也不會漲

By Sarah
at 2021-02-07T12:08

恭喜準備爆賺

By Heather
at 2021-02-09T14:38

推

By Erin
at 2021-02-12T19:47

台積跌還不是一堆股漲，樓上菜雞，gg看台股

By Andrew
at 2021-02-16T14:14

推專業分析反觀散戶各種取暖文

By Sarah
at 2021-02-19T23:22

4樓有看今天台股嗎?

By Sarah
at 2021-02-22T11:16

跌不到4% 下禮拜一就賺回來了

By Olivia
at 2021-02-23T09:07

認真分析，這篇我不用單給推

By Emily
at 2021-02-26T04:45

連三紅K前的缺口是關鍵基本上是要回補的

By Gilbert
at 2021-03-02T02:54

下周回測十日線??

By Valerie
at 2021-03-07T01:39

勇者～哈哈哈哈

By Puput
at 2021-03-10T18:17

讚喔現在短空勝率很高

By Ingrid
at 2021-03-10T19:58

預防性朝聖

By Elma
at 2021-03-13T14:02

昨天拉上市權王，今天拉上櫃權王，下週一通通一起

By James
at 2021-03-15T16:07

殺

By Eden
at 2021-03-18T13:55

小台

By Jack
at 2021-03-18T21:24

推

By Emily
at 2021-03-19T01:42

連五日線都還沒跌到竟然就有人要空了

By Olga
at 2021-03-21T07:15

水喔準備修正1000點!

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-03-24T20:48

星期一佛一點就開低慢慢殺狠一點拉高吸引進場再殺

By Regina
at 2021-03-28T23:45

鏡射圖好像在那邊看過

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-04-01T06:03

推，但再加碼有點危險

By Carol
at 2021-04-02T08:05

4樓app裡面只有台積嗎XDD

By Vanessa
at 2021-04-02T16:12

喔

By Bethany
at 2021-04-05T17:55

不是空喊給推

By Ina
at 2021-04-05T21:46

喔

By Donna
at 2021-04-07T13:12

勝率應該很高期貨市場現在殺聲連連歐股港股暴跌中
比特幣這幾天也是狂殺

By Susan
at 2021-04-09T09:32

頂多回測找支撐之前下跌也頂多到月線

By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-04-11T03:32

有這麼簡單嗎？我是猜不透法人

By Ina
at 2021-04-14T14:19

水

By Brianna
at 2021-04-17T10:43

欠噓

By Yedda
at 2021-04-22T06:24

http://i.imgur.com/j1aRBoN.jpg

By Lily
at 2021-04-26T10:52

有單有推

By Hazel
at 2021-04-27T12:08

前幾天噴的太誇張

By Rae
at 2021-05-02T00:03

有單就推

By Enid
at 2021-05-04T07:44

台積跌倒，中小吃飽

By Kristin
at 2021-05-08T12:59

有單推

By Irma
at 2021-05-11T08:55

勝率很高恭喜

By Jacob
at 2021-05-13T23:04

https://i.imgur.com/6Eu6vai.jpg

By Ophelia
at 2021-05-15T10:17

鐵定拉高殺的，除非晚上美股崩。今天拉上櫃就是要
讓散戶覺得水溫OK繼續泡好舒服，我還好奇今天上櫃
他媽漲停，再加上一狗票跌深股拉尾盤作線，這劇本
噁噁噁噁

By Susan
at 2021-05-17T07:00

在強啥小難道中小型股回春了？看了一下原來環球晶

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-05-19T20:42

https://i.imgur.com/23vjVjt.jpg 救命阿

By Lily
at 2021-05-22T17:29

2張小台是要發幾篇

By Gary
at 2021-05-22T20:42

有勇無謀

By Lily
at 2021-05-26T10:01

空能賺多少？長期定期定額0050贏爆你

By Kama
at 2021-05-28T09:46

應該會就地盤整啦要連跌也不太可能

By Caitlin
at 2021-05-30T16:42

特意空台積電，風險大獲利小，除了表現自己很神以外
沒什麼好處

By Bethany
at 2021-06-01T02:21

推

By Necoo
at 2021-06-02T07:29

建議607停利一半

By Rachel
at 2021-06-07T06:22

消息面已消化，還有什麼利空會跌？

By Mary
at 2021-06-07T22:12

你知道你要空的公司是台灣最強的公司嗎哈哈哈

By Lauren
at 2021-06-11T07:50

就好像你想要單挑麥可喬丹一樣，最後你都會輸的

By David
at 2021-06-14T10:10

還行，邏輯正確

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-06-19T08:06

先知總是孤獨

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-06-21T12:49

真是的，我給你一個更好空的標的，特斯拉
特斯拉的本益比現在是一千多被，是不是很棒啊哈哈哈

By Dorothy
at 2021-06-21T18:25

200接

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-06-24T03:35

邏輯正確，建議空軍目前維持短打即可！

By David
at 2021-06-27T16:37

下禮拜就要被嘎翻了，GG不會連跌2天，懂？

By Ida
at 2021-06-29T03:15

記得上一次把圖倒過來看的已經被嘎爆

By Kyle
at 2021-07-03T19:50

最好晚上美股趕快崩一崩，美股也多撐了一天昨天就
有敗相了，下週一直接開低殺，連今天還在拉尾作價
騙散戶的主力全部殺一殺

By Tracy
at 2021-07-07T21:49

每天都有人喊空，中了變先知。

By Caitlin
at 2021-07-10T16:45

週一先撐一下660我想跑

By Emma
at 2021-07-13T12:24

把全台灣追高韭菜都吸引到台積電關門放狗一次撲殺

By Necoo
at 2021-07-13T16:21

台積倒貨順便指數一起殺 2萬口空單大賺一波

By Damian
at 2021-07-16T17:45

看很多噓，那台G應該要往下修正了

By Christine
at 2021-07-19T15:38

一定要把他空到下市

By Olive
at 2021-07-24T05:38

Respect!

By Edwina
at 2021-07-29T03:38

短期被追得太高了，勢必要修正

By Erin
at 2021-07-29T17:58

昨天還有人嗆小兒盡量倒GG

By Eartha
at 2021-07-29T21:05

最好的辦法就是空大盤補台積就這樣

By Bennie
at 2021-07-30T23:51

小兒認真要倒貨沒人接得住啦

By Frederica
at 2021-08-01T15:36

來刪APP唸心經

By Eden
at 2021-08-06T14:15

小兒今天卯盡全力倒接盤還是這麼踴躍，週一繼續

By Eartha
at 2021-08-07T06:25

少年股神真的好多

By Daniel
at 2021-08-08T18:18

這叫分析？

By Agnes
at 2021-08-10T17:46

還沒跌深接盤當然踴躍多倒幾天散戶變成跟著倒

By Queena
at 2021-08-13T11:07

滾

By Hedwig
at 2021-08-15T18:28

外資不會讓自己手上台積的比例太低，不符合投資效益

By Charlie
at 2021-08-16T04:27

哈囉線仙猜對一天就高潮囉？

By Candice
at 2021-08-19T08:50

不能用一般的狀況去看台積用基金操作的角度看

By Jessica
at 2021-08-22T14:28

第一次看到有人把線圖倒過來看XDDDDD

By Edwina
at 2021-08-24T20:27

我好像看到航運股的影子

By Audriana
at 2021-08-26T09:15

有勇氣，值得嘉許

By Dora
at 2021-08-27T13:03

但好像真的有點神奇

By Isabella
at 2021-08-27T22:13

最好先殺回600嚇走這幾天追高的

By Liam
at 2021-08-29T06:46

老蘇 4ni？！！

By Oliver
at 2021-09-02T16:44

今天台積一堆放空文我就安心了謝謝你9527

By Ophelia
at 2021-09-03T10:49

覺得你會贏

By Liam
at 2021-09-08T06:47

傻了，準備被尬空了。

By Mia
at 2021-09-11T04:08

先猜你會贏

By Oliver
at 2021-09-15T11:34

勇者！

By Kristin
at 2021-09-19T05:55

能空一下航運嗎？霸拖

By Jessica
at 2021-09-19T16:52

剛跌一天感覺你會贏，不過我怕撿不回來只好續抱了==

By Callum
at 2021-09-22T04:41

卡個，說不定是先知

By Hedy
at 2021-09-22T17:19

我也覺得你會贏推

By Ingrid
at 2021-09-26T23:32

勇者，給推

By Robert
at 2021-09-28T23:44

先知五日線都還沒灌破

By Lydia
at 2021-09-30T10:34

用雞雞看台股

By Mary
at 2021-10-01T02:13

先知先卡之後來朝聖

By Olivia
at 2021-10-04T06:20

這只是剛開始

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-10-09T05:33

短空

By Olive
at 2021-10-13T15:46

好ㄛ加油多空點支持你

By Dora
at 2021-10-16T08:16

不管不會跌

By Hamiltion
at 2021-10-18T11:44

你會贏過熱的股都要回檔的

By Margaret
at 2021-10-20T22:45

賺翻

By Kama
at 2021-10-23T12:25

台積跌倒，散戶吃飽

By Kama
at 2021-10-23T19:19

讚

By Emma
at 2021-10-26T02:06

是該修正殺殺韭菜了，不然飆不上去

By Oscar
at 2021-10-26T22:54

上次有個老蘇用鏡射圖然後……

By Margaret
at 2021-10-30T19:34

禮拜一跌停的話還能空嗎？

By Frederic
at 2021-11-04T17:06

空gg真勇者

By Catherine
at 2021-11-08T10:12

的確漲多了，但坐看你被黑手嘎

By Anthony
at 2021-11-11T02:12

崩到哪畫個線來看看

By Liam
at 2021-11-13T22:24

台GG未來10個交易日只漲不跌，今天只是洗盤，放空GG
跟買其他垃圾股的下場一樣，賠光光

By Edwina
at 2021-11-17T16:56

畢業典禮近了

By Jessica
at 2021-11-20T15:19

加油喔

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-11-25T14:01

太早

By Ida
at 2021-11-26T15:38

台積吵過頭了，能出快出

By Kristin
at 2021-11-29T00:37

講台積電結果期貨就是噓

By Tracy
at 2021-12-02T13:52

今天到套100000張

By Caitlin
at 2021-12-04T21:40

我覺得你會贏，現在真的是手上有台積的全面樂觀

By Ida
at 2021-12-09T18:16

不敢空台積電空期貨只能噓

By Donna
at 2021-12-13T05:37

標題錯誤空小台就寫空小台很難嗎？

By Oscar
at 2021-12-17T19:31

https://i.imgur.com/ZIhrsq5.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/amW0LUD.jpg

By Tracy
at 2021-12-22T00:25

小台小賭怡情不錯啊不過要純一點還是直接做股期

By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-12-24T15:34

今年微型台積應該會很夯

By Puput
at 2021-12-27T02:00

**小型

By Cara
at 2021-12-27T23:57

讚

By Poppy
at 2022-01-01T11:54

台積電就算放著也會漲就讓他調整吧

By Eartha
at 2022-01-05T01:35

G高思危參考一下ADR不難

By Queena
at 2022-01-06T01:36

https://i.imgur.com/OjlSZFc.jpg
請問老輸我這樣放空可以自豪幾輩子

By Megan
at 2022-01-08T04:06

感謝燃料^^希望你大部位趕快進來

By Hedy
at 2022-01-10T09:30

不是會贏是已經贏了啊賺多賺少而已

By Hedwig
at 2022-01-14T06:32

好強希望未來可以多分享標的文
推

By Vanessa
at 2022-01-15T01:30

怎麼不直接空台積

By Callum
at 2022-01-19T18:50

比特幣也殺很兇，特斯拉也快了，再來錢就是拉瓶蓋股

By Megan
at 2022-01-22T00:06

敢空GG，等著GG

By Elma
at 2022-01-26T18:32

這篇真的太神了

By John
at 2022-01-29T06:19

朝聖

By Mia
at 2022-01-29T13:43

狂

By Kumar
at 2022-02-01T13:38

朝聖推

台積電空 - 股票

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