台積大單落空? 英特爾2大死敵偷笑了 - 股票
By Rosalind
at 2021-01-23T00:11
at 2021-01-23T00:11
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:https://ctee.com.tw/news/tech/407101.html
2.原文內容:
美國半導體巨頭英特爾財報會議周四(21日)公布市場最關注的晶片製造外包業務,將在
2月正式上任的新執行長Pat Gelsinger表示,2023年多項晶片產品以自行生產為主,但考
慮產品範圍相當廣泛,可能會採雙軌模式,部分產品委由外部生產。此番言論引來市場對
於台積電有望拿下大單的傳聞感到失望,台積電股價急挫3%,部分供應鏈股價也走跌,但
事實上,英特爾的競爭對手AMD、NVIDIA與台積電保持密切合作,沒有拿到大單反而可以
更穩定出貨長期合作夥伴。
Pat Gelsinger表示,考慮到產品線極廣,特定技術與產品可能擴大產能,英特爾有機會
採雙軌模式,將部分產能外包給晶圓代工廠生產。但這與早些時間傳出台積電將拿下大過
競爭對手三星電子訂單的說法不同,讓市場部分情緒感到失望,台積電ADR於21日盤後下
跌逾2%,連帶22日台股亦開低下挫,一度殺至649元最低點,終場收跌3.57%。
此外,台積電部分設備廠也出現股價回落情況,包括東京威力科創(TEL)、日本迪恩士半
導體公司(Screen)股價大跌,後者跌幅甚至超過3%,創下去年12月10以來最深跌勢。不
過,大多台積電相關設備商股價反而上漲,包括Nikon、廠新光電氣工業(Shinko
Electric Industries)等公司。
實際上,英特爾早些年就採取雙軌模式,只是從未下單先進製程的晶片製造訂單給晶圓代
工廠商,加上這幾年英特爾無論是在PC處理器或獨顯市場,都面臨極大壓力,這主要來自
於無廠(Fabless)半導體廠商競爭壓力。
1990年代,NVIDIA、高通、博通(Broadcom)這些無廠半導體廠開始崛起,隨著趨勢發展
,原本也採取垂直整合製造(IDM)模式的AMD,也將晶圓代工部門拆分成新公司格羅方德(
GlobalFoundries,格芯),來應對各部門龐大營運支出的負擔,並在2014年起由執行長
蘇姿丰帶領下,與台積電密切合作,並在採用7奈米製程產能大增,效能也獲得市場迴響
,積極搶攻PC處理器與資料中心伺服器市場,並成功撼動英特爾多年來霸權地位。AMD客
製化處理器也被PS5、Xbox新一代主機採用,使得AMD前景相當可期。
至於NVIDIA,5月發表新一代GPU Nvidia A100,這款基於Ampere 架構的晶片將用於AI資
料處理需求,採用單一平台取代英特爾的Turing、Volta 架構,將有效降低資料中心整體
成本,雖然去年下半年發布3款RTX30系列顯卡,採用三星8奈米製程,但市場傳聞不時有
問題發生,甚至傳出有機會推出新一代顯卡,台積電有望奪單。
根據台積電目前7奈米、5奈米製程滿載狀況難解,3奈米製程仍在研發階段就傳出大客戶
蘋果搶下首波產能,台積電上周法說會宣布,調高2021年資本支出至250億美元至280億美
元,幅度暴增45~62%。相較之下,英特爾近年不只面對10/14奈米製程產能不足情況,7奈
米製程研發更是延宕恐怕1年,台積電維持目前拿到英特爾訂單,無須為其擴增產線,讓
資本支出在赴美設廠之外,出現不確定性,又能持續深化AMD、NVIDIA合作關係,對台積
電來說反而是好事。
(中時新聞網 呂承哲)
3.心得/評論:台積電實力就擺在那邊,晶圓代工市占率一直都是世界第一,就算英特爾不
下單台積電,產能一定也會被其他廠商補滿,真的不懂英特爾不給台積電下單會對台積電
造成什麼影響,不過台積電股價回檔整理不見得是壞事,但是今天英特爾的股價,或許已
經說明了市場對英特爾決定自己製作晶片的影響了。
--
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