台玻 1802 - 股票
By John
at 2021-01-05T12:45
at 2021-01-05T12:45
Table of Contents
沒想到持股被點到了 分享點所知的詳細資訊
產能方面2019年平板玻璃之年產能為326.6萬公噸;玻璃纖維之年產能為22.1萬公噸;玻
璃器皿之年產能為17.6萬公噸。
這邊簡單分三個部份來談
平板玻璃即浮法玻璃原片+深加工玻璃(汽車建築等…)
目前玻璃原片每噸利潤大約800-1200RMB
320W*800=260000W RMB 這部分毛利大概109億台幣
營業費用佔七成 28億 營業利益大概80億 稅後60億
傳統產業 本益比抓10 大概價值600億的市值
玻璃纖維 產能22.1萬噸 今年喊產能倍增 是否單指5GLOWDK玻纖布沒求證
以往年營收大約90億 今年大陸子公司前三季大約虧三億多加台灣 可能大概虧五億
假設明年產能提升基礎營收推升到110億再搭配近期玻纖布漲價2-3成不等
明年玻纖布部分有機會虧轉盈稅後倒賺15億 玻纖布的本益比很高 約20-30倍 EX富喬
而且有世界唯三5G玻纖布的題材 也是世界前幾大玻纖廠有價值300億以上的市值
太陽能玻璃
去年九月剛點火 十月中才剛產出玻璃需要3個月的產能爬升期
http://guangfu.bjx.com.cn/news/20200918/1105399.shtml
650頓日產能 年產能約23.5萬噸 相當於4700平方米的2MM光伏玻璃
目前報價2MM平均約35人民幣
4700W*35=16.5億人民幣 大約70億台幣
以目前行情毛利率六成稅後利潤率大約35%左右 稅後貢獻25億台幣
光伏玻璃行業本益比大約30 保守點抓20 大約價值
500億市值
玻璃器皿 忽略
行情如果能維持今年有機會賺105億 大約EPS 3.5塊 不過是最理想狀態
隨時注意報價行情 照技術線型進出 以上資料僅供參考
--
產能方面2019年平板玻璃之年產能為326.6萬公噸;玻璃纖維之年產能為22.1萬公噸;玻
璃器皿之年產能為17.6萬公噸。
這邊簡單分三個部份來談
平板玻璃即浮法玻璃原片+深加工玻璃(汽車建築等…)
目前玻璃原片每噸利潤大約800-1200RMB
320W*800=260000W RMB 這部分毛利大概109億台幣
營業費用佔七成 28億 營業利益大概80億 稅後60億
傳統產業 本益比抓10 大概價值600億的市值
玻璃纖維 產能22.1萬噸 今年喊產能倍增 是否單指5GLOWDK玻纖布沒求證
以往年營收大約90億 今年大陸子公司前三季大約虧三億多加台灣 可能大概虧五億
假設明年產能提升基礎營收推升到110億再搭配近期玻纖布漲價2-3成不等
明年玻纖布部分有機會虧轉盈稅後倒賺15億 玻纖布的本益比很高 約20-30倍 EX富喬
而且有世界唯三5G玻纖布的題材 也是世界前幾大玻纖廠有價值300億以上的市值
太陽能玻璃
去年九月剛點火 十月中才剛產出玻璃需要3個月的產能爬升期
http://guangfu.bjx.com.cn/news/20200918/1105399.shtml
650頓日產能 年產能約23.5萬噸 相當於4700平方米的2MM光伏玻璃
目前報價2MM平均約35人民幣
4700W*35=16.5億人民幣 大約70億台幣
以目前行情毛利率六成稅後利潤率大約35%左右 稅後貢獻25億台幣
光伏玻璃行業本益比大約30 保守點抓20 大約價值
500億市值
玻璃器皿 忽略
行情如果能維持今年有機會賺105億 大約EPS 3.5塊 不過是最理想狀態
隨時注意報價行情 照技術線型進出 以上資料僅供參考
--
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