反彈只是暫時？野村：美股下週恐「雷曼式」崩跌 - 股票

By Ula
at 2019-08-10T19:09

Table of Contents

1.原文連結：
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/2880323

2.原文內容：
〔財經頻道／綜合報導〕最近幾天美股稍微挽住頹勢，不過日本野村宏觀及量化策略師Masanari Takada分析認為，從過往歷史來看，美股8月中以後常會出現拋售潮，也就是說美股的好日子可能只剩3個交易日，Masanari Takada還認為，即將到來的拋售潮有可能會是「雷曼兄弟式」的瘋狂。
《CNBC》報導，Masanari Takada利用「波動率指數」（CBOE Volatility Index，VIX）的數據分析1994年以來的美股表現，Masanari Takada認為，如果歷史可以為鑒的話，那股市可能會在8月中前觸頂，目前美股的些微漲勢可能只是暴風雨前的寧靜。

3.心得/評論：
不知道版上的富翁們怎麼看，我是覺得我的VIX差不多該持續加碼衝了，要是下週煙火燃起，不排除跟進反向，空軍已經待命待數月之久了，這次要集結起來殲滅敵軍，全面大勝！

--

Tags: 股票

All Comments

By Charlotte
at 2019-08-14T01:21

壞消息就是......

By Rae
at 2019-08-16T15:41

到時被套在山頂上你就知道痛了

By Zora
at 2019-08-20T02:16

看樣子川普要提早全面課稅25趴了

By Todd Johnson
at 2019-08-23T17:16

交易靠感覺，必須是股神

By Elizabeth
at 2019-08-27T00:11

等三普call訊R

By Puput
at 2019-08-30T21:34

趕快來想撿便宜

By Ursula
at 2019-08-31T19:27

完了...跟我預測的轉折點一樣...該轉多軍惹

By Olivia
at 2019-09-01T08:45

看到恐這個字後面我都當空白

By Madame
at 2019-09-03T14:15

看3-6差離差不多就是他講的那樣

By Mason
at 2019-09-07T15:12

外資............

By Edwina
at 2019-09-11T15:12

我只相信川普老師

By Vanessa
at 2019-09-12T11:51

外資又想撿便宜不是期貨做多嗎

By Edwina
at 2019-09-15T20:12

等著崩盤撿垃圾

By Sierra Rose
at 2019-09-17T09:41

訊號來了

By Adele
at 2019-09-20T01:44

小兒要哭了

By Kyle
at 2019-09-20T19:04

噴噴

By Kumar
at 2019-09-22T06:47

穩了穩了

By Ina
at 2019-09-23T01:58

VIX買幾隻當彩券

By Anonymous
at 2019-09-23T06:44

我豪興奮R!

By Harry
at 2019-09-23T22:02

什麼1994...這次不一樣

By Harry
at 2019-09-28T03:25

...不給空軍活嗎...

By Lydia
at 2019-10-02T14:53

歷史系的膩？

By Andrew
at 2019-10-07T06:04

看來是死魚盤的局面，我忍！

By Susan
at 2019-10-10T12:41

又在騙

By Gary
at 2019-10-14T09:02

看來下禮拜噴噴噴了

By Sarah
at 2019-10-15T06:02

反著做

By Ida
at 2019-10-17T23:30

噴到爆

By Callum
at 2019-10-22T15:35

good

By Mia
at 2019-10-23T01:14

看月線，看多的小心點

By Jessica
at 2019-10-27T11:14

信貸30萬準備好了，銀行這次給我4.88%特別優惠了..

By Skylar Davis
at 2019-10-30T13:21

散戶看新聞反著做那短線只好在跟散戶反著做了嘻嘻

By Skylar Davis
at 2019-11-03T10:53

肝腎養這麼久就等這一天！

By Gary
at 2019-11-07T00:16

谷底放利空, 穩了

By Ivy
at 2019-11-11T00:21

1%崩跌，空軍不忍QQ

By Ivy
at 2019-11-12T12:02

川習打個電話聊聊天就又多了誰知道呢

By Christine
at 2019-11-17T04:27

真希望有2009年的大跌。等很久了

By Carolina Franco
at 2019-11-21T16:26

國際大分析師佛心打pass喊快空信的是燃料XD

By Linda
at 2019-11-22T14:38

怎麼不秀一下賣單？不然怎麼區分帶風向還是講真的

By Yedda
at 2019-11-24T14:19

空氣單要水桶

By Callum
at 2019-11-26T13:16

習一直被川洗臉，會笨到又被洗臉一次嗎？

By Anonymous
at 2019-11-28T17:04

快崩盤阿我等兩年了還不崩

By Dorothy
at 2019-11-28T23:19

https://i.imgur.com/l9MahBW.png
這老兄6月初說美股會跌40%，不太準

By Mary
at 2019-11-30T17:05

早就撿好等噴了再騙啊==

By Rachel
at 2019-12-02T21:53

恐。。。。

By Ivy
at 2019-12-05T06:18

一直喊崩總有一天會中XD

By Oscar
at 2019-12-08T03:16

嗚呼垃圾撿起來

By Heather
at 2019-12-10T13:09

折折？

By Steve
at 2019-12-12T15:12

這位歪果仁是誰

By Queena
at 2019-12-13T17:10

外資人還真好啊

By Zenobia
at 2019-12-15T00:15

這麼好心... 要崩了還提醒大家

By Ivy
at 2019-12-19T22:54

知道了反著看就對了

By Anthony
at 2019-12-21T10:22

每天都想著崩盤，三普要選舉頂多拉回而已

By Dorothy
at 2019-12-25T04:09

記住這個分析師的名字！八月中以後真的崩盤，以後
要follow他。如果沒崩，則刷爆他臉書。

By Agatha
at 2019-12-26T06:51

6月初說跌40%，結果...
https://i.imgur.com/uTpXhJj.png

By Carolina Franco
at 2019-12-30T07:26

說個笑話崩

By Connor
at 2020-01-01T22:55

樓上認真？這小日本六月有說過話嗎？

By Olivia
at 2020-01-05T20:20

上面連結不就有人貼了剛好是最佳進場點

By Connor
at 2020-01-07T03:27

推 somanyee:
https://i.imgur.com/l9MahBW.png

By James
at 2020-01-09T06:19

恐媽逼幹

By Vanessa
at 2020-01-10T20:27

https://i.imgur.com/W6MM67b.jpg
這個日本人還蠻準的，他預測六七月會有反彈

By John
at 2020-01-13T21:47

https://m.cnyes.com/news/id/4331407

By Leila
at 2020-01-18T20:04

笑鼠人有種你野村三個交易日後狂空啊

By Leila
at 2020-01-20T09:32

完蛋啦我的vix

By Leila
at 2020-01-23T11:00

黑手開始要有動作了傻空們等死吧

By Valerie
at 2020-01-26T15:56

恐起來

By Callum
at 2020-01-27T17:39

有本事加碼空，笑死人

By Frederic
at 2020-01-30T18:41

可以啊繼續看戲

By Donna
at 2020-02-04T02:36

26087殺破站不回大概25000也是遲早被破

By Heather
at 2020-02-05T13:57

all in

By Joseph
at 2020-02-05T21:40

說個笑話野村

By Isabella
at 2020-02-09T16:41

中共更慘都沒崩，美股是崩三小

By Harry
at 2020-02-11T06:44

野村有沒有開放對賭啊？它看年底前標普跌20-40%，
我想反著下，賠率1.90就好

By Kelly
at 2020-02-14T09:04

你叫我拋我就偏偏買爆你

By Susan
at 2020-02-14T17:30

看來要噴了...

By Ivy
at 2020-02-18T05:37

他應該買很多

By Mia
at 2020-02-18T18:48

信貸4.88%還借..我一段式拿2.4%都覺得貴了

By Callum
at 2020-02-20T17:48

他在怎麼預測川普投顧一個twitter立刻反轉

By Isla
at 2020-02-23T19:28

多單安心啦

By Hamiltion
at 2020-02-25T16:15

要噴了

By Damian
at 2020-02-29T20:28

那我的多單就安心了

By Callum
at 2020-03-03T01:32

我說這個月會有地震！謝謝

By Irma
at 2020-03-03T17:42

訊號發出了可以無腦多了

By Sierra Rose
at 2020-03-03T20:37

危言聳聽

By Dora
at 2020-03-06T08:43

現在是真的要小心

By Bennie
at 2020-03-10T14:39

要跑還跟你講幹嘛

By Lily
at 2020-03-11T12:33

六月分析半天川普一通電話就談和了

By Olivia
at 2020-03-14T17:56

不過川普目前態度不想談，9月25% 3000下去可能會崩

By William
at 2020-03-15T23:59

我等川普他說的最準

By Jake
at 2020-03-18T04:23

川普最準現在啥分析師發新聞都沒用
發新聞壓低吃貨川普一個推特讓你吃的夠

By Rachel
at 2020-03-19T13:54

恐......

By Annie
at 2020-03-24T01:53

快崩

By Zanna
at 2020-03-28T07:21

野村這波沒賺到就在那邊叫?

By Linda
at 2020-03-29T02:05

回一天，漲五天。

By Ula
at 2020-03-31T18:02

新聞本來就反著看

By Edwina
at 2020-04-01T05:54

應該要準備漲一波才是，真的要跌還會通知你哦？又是
個假新聞

By Skylar Davis
at 2020-04-05T17:05

別囉唆，對帳單

By Mia
at 2020-04-09T14:21

操

By Noah
at 2020-04-11T21:39

野村超廢追高殺低zzz

By Ethan
at 2020-04-16T04:15

敢說明確日期的通常不準，等著看

By Daph Bay
at 2020-04-17T01:54

野村真好心

By Anthony
at 2020-04-21T23:34

怕.gif

By Necoo
at 2020-04-26T03:36

不怕說雷曼再現比較怕說美股上看3萬點

By Odelette
at 2020-04-29T19:21

野村何時變算命仙了

By Wallis
at 2020-05-02T20:37

玉山聽令傑爾馬這次準備信貸300億空他個天崩地裂

By Eden
at 2020-05-06T13:35

這種新聞一出來代表穩了

By Kumar
at 2020-05-07T02:23

唯一只相信三普投顧 \發大財/

By Zora
at 2020-05-08T16:46

買官股銀行沒在怕的

By Zenobia
at 2020-05-12T10:11

歐印了

By Margaret
at 2020-05-12T11:40

這種新聞出來大概就是準備噴了

By Hardy
at 2020-05-15T22:22

小鵝的新聞都要反著看

By Ivy
at 2020-05-18T16:25

崩了就歐硬

By Megan
at 2020-05-20T05:21

這麼快放炮我不敢留空

By Cara
at 2020-05-24T19:51

超穩

By Puput
at 2020-05-27T16:26

這麼準野村不all in?

By Poppy
at 2020-05-31T19:50

別人恐懼我貪婪

By Emily
at 2020-06-02T01:36

野村這幾天拼命放話阿

By Anonymous
at 2020-06-04T18:46

就像陳雷的歌，有人供賀就有人供歹

By Leila
at 2020-06-04T20:17

要噴了，分析師連市場多少錢在市場都不考慮一下嗎?

By Vanessa
at 2020-06-06T17:04

要起飛了！

By Vanessa
at 2020-06-09T01:12

挖美股要出現邪惡第五波了

By Kyle
at 2020-06-10T04:53

好恐怖嚇得我吃手手

By Wallis
at 2020-06-13T00:25

歐印

By James
at 2020-06-17T04:52

https://i.imgur.com/WYGoYWp.jpg

By Dinah
at 2020-06-18T05:27

坐穩啦回檔修正結束，新一波多頭啟航

By Isabella
at 2020-06-19T15:42

一切的一切預告在先 +0891

By Hedda
at 2020-06-23T17:09

蕩賤勢

By Freda
at 2020-06-26T10:01

週末利空新聞好多

By Charlie
at 2020-06-27T19:16

野村就反指標

By Jacob
at 2020-06-30T21:37

已上轎，等野村抬轎，洩洩

By Yedda
at 2020-07-02T21:42

人家說的是美股跟台股比？台股連過前高都沒要小心
美股不予置評

By Queena
at 2020-07-03T02:50

不管多久以後發生的，都算成真？？

By Jacob
at 2020-07-06T16:17

當初野村吃了不少雷曼人，難忘過去的回憶?

By Oliver
at 2020-07-08T09:58

看數據的腦殘

By Franklin
at 2020-07-12T01:43

問問這日本人買多少空單？嘴巴喊身體也要行動阿

By Aaliyah
at 2020-07-16T18:38

跟上週有人說8/4-8-6可能解放軍會進香港鎮壓差不多
吧......XD

By Yuri
at 2020-07-19T21:00

還不如相信川普

By Eartha
at 2020-07-23T06:01

根本跟雷曼那時全球狀況差多了

By Dora
at 2020-07-25T07:19

恐就是不會發生

By William
at 2020-07-28T03:51

takada你哪位，我只信大谷翔平好嗎

By Sierra Rose
at 2020-07-29T02:46

你國有膕庵雞精別想大崩惹

By Irma
at 2020-07-29T18:22

現在所有經濟數據都不怎麼樣，但是股市在高檔，換
個角度想一下，如果經濟開始轉好，股市會？

By Jacky
at 2020-07-30T07:57

好星期一All in

By Daph Bay
at 2020-08-01T21:48

樓上，股價反映的不是現值，而是投資人對公司未來
的想像。現在經濟數據不怎樣，代表股價是靠投資人
的本夢比在撐，已預先反映未來。

By Linda
at 2020-08-06T21:38

外資反着看

By Lauren
at 2020-08-11T15:21

2008年有川普嗎

By Daph Bay
at 2020-08-14T05:46

經濟數據不怎樣但有些企業營收卻創高買對股最重
要那些創高的企業都跟什麼有關係稍微研究一點就
知道了

By Steve
at 2020-08-16T05:27

希望不會看到有人哭

By Noah
at 2020-08-18T18:50

恐恐恐......～～

By Olga
at 2020-08-21T08:58

該歐印了

By Blanche
at 2020-08-26T04:01

等星期一上去後下來打支腳比較穩

By Callum
at 2020-08-27T21:13

外資真佛心告訴你只是反彈

By Emma
at 2020-08-30T16:38

不給活路

By Megan
at 2020-09-02T21:50

太好了可以進場

By Odelette
at 2020-09-03T10:24

https://i.imgur.com/H5Li4nw.jpg

By Carol
at 2020-09-03T22:12

槓沒修圖 =_=
爛手機

By Enid
at 2020-09-05T18:18

假好心

By Anthony
at 2020-09-07T14:06

外豬：我把謊言藏在謊言裡

By Gilbert
at 2020-09-10T02:25

這一整串到底跟台灣有啥關係看不懂？是我國文不好
嗎

By Thomas
at 2020-09-13T14:07

美股要噴我相信台灣就是拉權值股我做期貨根本沒差

By Anthony
at 2020-09-14T05:12

野村不是神預測嗎...直接點出7、8月會反彈

By Carolina Franco
at 2020-09-17T18:33

現在就一堆人套在山上了

By Todd Johnson
at 2020-09-22T16:38

本身持有一點點的股票問題是真的被套牢叫我相信是
多頭股票先解套吧

By Dorothy
at 2020-09-26T22:03

我只相信我特朗普老師

By Una
at 2020-09-28T16:17

嘎到飛起來

By Sarah
at 2020-10-02T11:58

穩了

By Callum
at 2020-10-03T15:47

預防性朝聖

By Connor
at 2020-10-04T15:50

剛才雷曼式爆噴

By Delia
at 2020-10-08T08:49

9/12朝聖推

By Edwina
at 2020-10-09T18:06

太神啦~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

反彈只是暫時？野村：美股下週恐「雷曼式」崩跌 - 股票

All Comments

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