劉泰英:惡性通膨來臨 民眾自求多福 - 股票
By Kyle
at 2021-01-18T17:38
at 2021-01-18T17:38
Table of Contents
----------------------------------發文提醒-------------------------------
1.發文前請先詳閱[新聞]分類發文規範,未依規範發文將受處份。
2.連結過長請善用 https://bit.ly/ 縮網址,連結能不能點擊者板規1-2-2處份。
3.心得/評論請盡量充實,心得過短或濫竽充數將會以1-2-3&一行文規範水桶處份。
4.發文請依照格式文章標明段落,不符合格式者依4-1刪文處分。
------------------ 以上注意事項請勿刪除 違者4-1 刪文處分 ----------------
1.原文連結:
※過長無法點擊者必須縮網址
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3410895
2.原文內容:
劉泰英:惡性通膨來臨 民眾自求多福
2021/01/18 07:55
(劉泰英為台綜合院創辦人,曾任國民黨黨管會主委、 中華開發董事長 )
國際金融是已經自由流通,現在美國無限量發行鈔票,它會流到台灣,就算我們中央銀行
很謹慎,但是熱錢還是會溢流到台灣來。
台灣想要金融自主,很難,現在全球共同面臨的危機就是疫情,疫情以後民間投資卻步,
失業人口大增,各國政府不只要救經濟還救失業,只好就像台灣政府一樣發行消費券,全
世界政府都是補貼人民,來刺激消費。
全世界政府都在狂發貨幣,美國現在貨幣發行至少增加一倍以上,這是瘋狂的行為,政府
紓困還繼續在進行;中國金融政策本來就是亂搞,從中央政府到地方政府,沒錢就去銀行
搬錢,
政府狂印鈔票 絕對是災難
回顧歷史,1930年代是最淒慘,景氣反轉之後,一堆人失業,那時美國紡織業為主要產業
,大家沒有工作,紗匹沒有人要買,紗就卡在機器內,時間仿佛凍結靜止了,後來才有恩
凱斯的經濟理論出來,政府實施赤字預算來救經濟,但這還是政府借錢,現在竟然是政府
無限量印鈔票,這絕對是災難。,
本來經濟成長是靠資本的累積,來創造經濟成長,現在大家恐慌,資本累積很少,政府的
投資沒有提高,民間經濟沒有增加,那消費怎麼提高?現在各國政府用印鈔票解決共同的
問題,這會造成惡性通貨膨脹。
惡性通膨就是貨幣大幅增加後,會隨即帶來股票上漲、房地產上漲,股票房產上漲以後會
造成民眾心理恐慌,接下來就開始炒作商品及物資,現在就有一點要轉向炒作商品物資的
情況,消費品什麼都炒作,黃金、棉花、鋼鐵、基本金屬都炒,什麼都抄,因為買了可能
2天後又漲價了,這個就是惡性通貨膨脹的開端。
解決惡性通貨膨脹,唯一的方法只有緊收通貨,緊收通貨使得市場資金減少,利率會上升
,這樣一來會造成股市房產價格下跌,若美國開始緊縮通貨,企業因調度困難,就會賣出
台灣股票,把資金匯回美國,台股就會開始下跌了。
外資在台股有1兆 若撤出也是災難
最近台股會漲是因為外資大買,等到未來外資開始拋售股票時,就會造成市場出現恐慌拋
售,這個市場永遠是這樣,樂觀時會過份樂觀,恐時也會過度恐慌,我就怕到時大家會過
度悲觀,那就是災難了。
目前台股我認為是過度樂觀,台灣市場最大困難就是外資在主導盤勢,過去每年台灣股票
漲漲跌跌,得利最大還是外資,外資現在進來台灣的部位,我估計可能有1兆台幣,若外
資一旦要撤出台股,股市就會暴跌,所以我很擔心,中央銀行也在努力,但畢竟政府能力
有限,因為現在我們是自由市場,資金可以無限量的進來,也可以無限量出去;面對熱錢
進進出出,政府都沒有能力因應,一般民眾哪裡有能力面對?面對惡性通膨來臨,大家要
自求多福了。
(紀錄整理/記者 劉彥辰. 歐祥義)
3.心得/評論:
※必需填寫滿20字
劉講的也不無道理
確實恐慌的時候容易過度恐慌,
樂觀的時候會過度樂觀,
什麼時候該大膽,什麼時候該小心,確實很難拿捏
--
1.發文前請先詳閱[新聞]分類發文規範,未依規範發文將受處份。
2.連結過長請善用 https://bit.ly/ 縮網址,連結能不能點擊者板規1-2-2處份。
3.心得/評論請盡量充實,心得過短或濫竽充數將會以1-2-3&一行文規範水桶處份。
4.發文請依照格式文章標明段落,不符合格式者依4-1刪文處分。
------------------ 以上注意事項請勿刪除 違者4-1 刪文處分 ----------------
1.原文連結:
※過長無法點擊者必須縮網址
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3410895
2.原文內容:
劉泰英:惡性通膨來臨 民眾自求多福
2021/01/18 07:55
(劉泰英為台綜合院創辦人,曾任國民黨黨管會主委、 中華開發董事長 )
國際金融是已經自由流通,現在美國無限量發行鈔票,它會流到台灣,就算我們中央銀行
很謹慎,但是熱錢還是會溢流到台灣來。
台灣想要金融自主,很難,現在全球共同面臨的危機就是疫情,疫情以後民間投資卻步,
失業人口大增,各國政府不只要救經濟還救失業,只好就像台灣政府一樣發行消費券,全
世界政府都是補貼人民,來刺激消費。
全世界政府都在狂發貨幣,美國現在貨幣發行至少增加一倍以上,這是瘋狂的行為,政府
紓困還繼續在進行;中國金融政策本來就是亂搞,從中央政府到地方政府,沒錢就去銀行
搬錢,
政府狂印鈔票 絕對是災難
回顧歷史,1930年代是最淒慘,景氣反轉之後,一堆人失業,那時美國紡織業為主要產業
,大家沒有工作,紗匹沒有人要買,紗就卡在機器內,時間仿佛凍結靜止了,後來才有恩
凱斯的經濟理論出來,政府實施赤字預算來救經濟,但這還是政府借錢,現在竟然是政府
無限量印鈔票,這絕對是災難。,
本來經濟成長是靠資本的累積,來創造經濟成長,現在大家恐慌,資本累積很少,政府的
投資沒有提高,民間經濟沒有增加,那消費怎麼提高?現在各國政府用印鈔票解決共同的
問題,這會造成惡性通貨膨脹。
惡性通膨就是貨幣大幅增加後,會隨即帶來股票上漲、房地產上漲,股票房產上漲以後會
造成民眾心理恐慌,接下來就開始炒作商品及物資,現在就有一點要轉向炒作商品物資的
情況,消費品什麼都炒作,黃金、棉花、鋼鐵、基本金屬都炒,什麼都抄,因為買了可能
2天後又漲價了,這個就是惡性通貨膨脹的開端。
解決惡性通貨膨脹,唯一的方法只有緊收通貨,緊收通貨使得市場資金減少,利率會上升
,這樣一來會造成股市房產價格下跌,若美國開始緊縮通貨,企業因調度困難,就會賣出
台灣股票,把資金匯回美國,台股就會開始下跌了。
外資在台股有1兆 若撤出也是災難
最近台股會漲是因為外資大買,等到未來外資開始拋售股票時,就會造成市場出現恐慌拋
售,這個市場永遠是這樣,樂觀時會過份樂觀,恐時也會過度恐慌,我就怕到時大家會過
度悲觀,那就是災難了。
目前台股我認為是過度樂觀,台灣市場最大困難就是外資在主導盤勢,過去每年台灣股票
漲漲跌跌,得利最大還是外資,外資現在進來台灣的部位,我估計可能有1兆台幣,若外
資一旦要撤出台股,股市就會暴跌,所以我很擔心,中央銀行也在努力,但畢竟政府能力
有限,因為現在我們是自由市場,資金可以無限量的進來,也可以無限量出去;面對熱錢
進進出出,政府都沒有能力因應,一般民眾哪裡有能力面對?面對惡性通膨來臨,大家要
自求多福了。
(紀錄整理/記者 劉彥辰. 歐祥義)
3.心得/評論:
※必需填寫滿20字
劉講的也不無道理
確實恐慌的時候容易過度恐慌,
樂觀的時候會過度樂觀,
什麼時候該大膽,什麼時候該小心,確實很難拿捏
--
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