停滯性通膨的投資方式 - 投資
By Zora
at 2022-07-04T17:10
at 2022-07-04T17:10
Table of Contents
看到各位大師的文,關於利率,總覺得各位大大是不是弄錯了什麼
利率分為長短期
短期利率由聯準會控制,最近很熱門的升息就是升短期利率
長期利率是市場決定的,除非聯準會大量縮表導致市場少了一塊買債的力量,或是財政部減少發債,市場少了一個賣債的力量
否則長期利率由市場決定,而不是官方力量,這點一定要弄清楚
最近十年利率升到3%就升不上去,因為市場有人在底部大量買債,利息自然無法上升,
接下來聯準會預定年底升息11碼,也就是0.25+(11*0.25),等於短期利率3%
如果長期利率還維持在3%,這時候就會看見殖利率倒掛
這還不算嚴重,通膨8.6%減去3%還剩下5, 負利率是5%
因此聯準會還會繼續升息,到時會怎樣我也不知道
-----
Sent from JPTT on my Asus ASUS_X00QD.
--
利率分為長短期
短期利率由聯準會控制,最近很熱門的升息就是升短期利率
長期利率是市場決定的,除非聯準會大量縮表導致市場少了一塊買債的力量,或是財政部減少發債,市場少了一個賣債的力量
否則長期利率由市場決定,而不是官方力量,這點一定要弄清楚
最近十年利率升到3%就升不上去,因為市場有人在底部大量買債,利息自然無法上升,
接下來聯準會預定年底升息11碼,也就是0.25+(11*0.25),等於短期利率3%
如果長期利率還維持在3%,這時候就會看見殖利率倒掛
這還不算嚴重,通膨8.6%減去3%還剩下5, 負利率是5%
因此聯準會還會繼續升息,到時會怎樣我也不知道
-----
Sent from JPTT on my Asus ASUS_X00QD.
--
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