保戶最大夢魘!台壽險業引爆2200億匯損 - 股票
By Todd Johnson
at 2019-01-18T09:48
at 2019-01-18T09:48
Table of Contents
壽險業以前要提列負債準備,但是收到的保費當年可以入為收入
所以在資產負債表上看來並不會怎樣
關鍵在於未來IFRS的變動
以後收到的保費要先列負債,還要隨著未來利率上揚,調增負債
過去壽險業的高利率保單 (繳20年,期滿領終身,約5%)
變成隱憂,所以壽險公司只能一直推儲蓄險來進行攤平
再把保費拿去投資,通常量體都很龐大
當股匯都不行的時候,資產減損就很嚴重,所以外資賣很大
未來的資產負債表只會更難看
升息,匯損更難看,還可能引爆房地產炸彈
這問題由來已久,金管會跟央行都有責任,才會造成壽險業的資產負債這麼可怕
壽險業為了轉嫁風險,只能推美元計價儲蓄險 (避險成本約1.0%~1.5%)
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