中國是真正的借錢王怎麼沒人擔心? - 股票
By Isla
at 2020-08-04T19:13
at 2020-08-04T19:13
Table of Contents
怎麼大家只關心美國借錢
美債還是3a 中國債券比國際不承認的台灣信評還低
蠻訝異這麼多人覺得美國欠錢最多
真正的欠錢印鈔王肯定是中國
https://i.imgur.com/YZPWgdf.jpg
中國的總負債已經來到300兆人民幣
這還是官方可統計範圍的 影子銀行民間借貸沒算入
中國其實地方債+國債+地方政府成立的城投公司負債就不輸美國國債
最典型就是貴州國家級窮困縣獨山縣
舉債1600億
反正中央要gdp數字官員要油水
中國gdp 4成靠投資就是玩這套
而中國企業債佔gdp比是美國2~3倍
https://i.imgur.com/1HlnYuU.jpg
連中國最大一年銷售額幾兆的恆大最近都現金流問題
https://i.imgur.com/4gMZhMA.jpg
但大家知道 在中國做生意必須信黨
資金緊張就叫國企借一下+鎖消息
大家不借是白癡
更不用說 中國其實大企業全部國營
獲利前10中8家國企
https://i.imgur.com/w2sZyts.jpg
借錢更沒顧慮
中國長年大放水 m2是美國三倍
匯率還撐的住大家都知道為什麼
因為中國是高度外匯管制國家
你開放看看
一堆人準備賣房換美元
美國目前還拼命希望熱錢去中國升值
等外銷都倒光 再搞中國
總之 中國帳目帳務就不輸美國
+影子債更屌打美國
更重要的
https://i.imgur.com/EMnm6tv.jpg
中國借債速度遠遠超過gdp增長速度
2016到今年gdp借款已經超過100兆rmb
中國的gdp只能靠不斷欠錢來湊
比如一堆高鐵 根本除了京滬外 其餘根本嚴重虧損
但為了保持增長 只能一直狂借
比如第一年借10塊
第二年債務變10+10+1 這樣gdp變11才會增長
以下類推
才會越借越快
所以本質中國就是典型債務拉動型經濟
只能靠越借越多撐面子
預估2022開始這套龐氏騙局玩不下去
因為2022習近平要登基
這兩年面子還是會撐好
2008以前 中國總債務才50兆
現在不用五年就超過100兆
這套看還可以玩多久
--
美債還是3a 中國債券比國際不承認的台灣信評還低
蠻訝異這麼多人覺得美國欠錢最多
真正的欠錢印鈔王肯定是中國
https://i.imgur.com/YZPWgdf.jpg
中國的總負債已經來到300兆人民幣
這還是官方可統計範圍的 影子銀行民間借貸沒算入
中國其實地方債+國債+地方政府成立的城投公司負債就不輸美國國債
最典型就是貴州國家級窮困縣獨山縣
舉債1600億
反正中央要gdp數字官員要油水
中國gdp 4成靠投資就是玩這套
而中國企業債佔gdp比是美國2~3倍
https://i.imgur.com/1HlnYuU.jpg
連中國最大一年銷售額幾兆的恆大最近都現金流問題
https://i.imgur.com/4gMZhMA.jpg
但大家知道 在中國做生意必須信黨
資金緊張就叫國企借一下+鎖消息
大家不借是白癡
更不用說 中國其實大企業全部國營
獲利前10中8家國企
https://i.imgur.com/w2sZyts.jpg
借錢更沒顧慮
中國長年大放水 m2是美國三倍
匯率還撐的住大家都知道為什麼
因為中國是高度外匯管制國家
你開放看看
一堆人準備賣房換美元
美國目前還拼命希望熱錢去中國升值
等外銷都倒光 再搞中國
總之 中國帳目帳務就不輸美國
+影子債更屌打美國
更重要的
https://i.imgur.com/EMnm6tv.jpg
中國借債速度遠遠超過gdp增長速度
2016到今年gdp借款已經超過100兆rmb
中國的gdp只能靠不斷欠錢來湊
比如一堆高鐵 根本除了京滬外 其餘根本嚴重虧損
但為了保持增長 只能一直狂借
比如第一年借10塊
第二年債務變10+10+1 這樣gdp變11才會增長
以下類推
才會越借越快
所以本質中國就是典型債務拉動型經濟
只能靠越借越多撐面子
預估2022開始這套龐氏騙局玩不下去
因為2022習近平要登基
這兩年面子還是會撐好
2008以前 中國總債務才50兆
現在不用五年就超過100兆
這套看還可以玩多久
--
Tags:
股票
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