中國內需股泡沫破裂 - 股票
By Kumar
at 2021-02-24T15:25
at 2021-02-24T15:25
Table of Contents
不知道哪來風向整天吹美國科技股泡沫重演網路股災
整天看中國新聞就是美國崩潰 美股泡沫
然後中國一片大好
結果中國內需股全球第一崩
ㄧ推阿呆還以為買中國股市比較賺
全球最大泡沫就是中國股市啦
賣白酒 賣火鍋 醬油 眼科 通通本益比百倍
美國科技股瞬間回彈
中國內需繼續崩盤ing
一個國家科技高本益比
一個國家火鍋醬油高本益比
還要比什麼
受疫情影響列出19年獲利
https://i.imgur.com/vG2Rzow.jpg
市值1.2兆 5天從 85.8約跌25%
本益比621倍 19年獲利約100億
https://i.imgur.com/0rlfUVA.jpg
市值約5兆 5天跌20%
本益比58倍 淨利約720億
https://i.imgur.com/tGf7Vrb.jpg
市值約1.5兆 5天跌20%
本益比180倍 19年獲利60億
https://i.imgur.com/lSyNGaI.jpg
醬油股 市值約2.1兆 5天18%
本益比94倍 2019獲利 230億
https://i.imgur.com/UIPV0cW.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/FWAZOwS.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/P02gr90.jpg
中國內需股在五天內高點跌超過20%
但平均本益比目前還是百倍附近
真的覺得老年化中國消費力還可以大增?
其實很多人都有迷思 覺得中國gdp高 所以股市長期看漲
那是適用正常國家
但事實上
第一
中國上市公司金融業獲利佔一半以上 加上地產則約2/3 剩下的根本被榨乾
第二
中國gdp和多數產業關係不大
中國經濟總結就是
債務拉升不動產 不動產擔保債務
完美內循環
中國去年賣地36兆 商品房銷售75兆
台灣不動產交易包含二手才5000億
說台灣炒房致富的 看看中國 not even close
中國至少台灣的150倍
所以 你不是房地產相關產業
經濟增長跟你關係又不大
看gdp做股票根本沒屁用 做房市還比較有用
結論:
中國就像三十年前台灣 市場整天宰殺散戶
台灣股民身經百戰 去玩a股割韭菜簡直不要太容易
但要投資什麼內需型etf
中國gdp接近美國
但主要靠印鈔賣地墊高房價
企業總體獲利可能連日本都比不贏
目前股息率只有1-2%
基本面簡直沒法看
投資最好三思
--
整天看中國新聞就是美國崩潰 美股泡沫
然後中國一片大好
結果中國內需股全球第一崩
ㄧ推阿呆還以為買中國股市比較賺
全球最大泡沫就是中國股市啦
賣白酒 賣火鍋 醬油 眼科 通通本益比百倍
美國科技股瞬間回彈
中國內需繼續崩盤ing
一個國家科技高本益比
一個國家火鍋醬油高本益比
還要比什麼
受疫情影響列出19年獲利
https://i.imgur.com/vG2Rzow.jpg
市值1.2兆 5天從 85.8約跌25%
本益比621倍 19年獲利約100億
https://i.imgur.com/0rlfUVA.jpg
市值約5兆 5天跌20%
本益比58倍 淨利約720億
https://i.imgur.com/tGf7Vrb.jpg
市值約1.5兆 5天跌20%
本益比180倍 19年獲利60億
https://i.imgur.com/lSyNGaI.jpg
醬油股 市值約2.1兆 5天18%
本益比94倍 2019獲利 230億
https://i.imgur.com/UIPV0cW.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/FWAZOwS.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/P02gr90.jpg
中國內需股在五天內高點跌超過20%
但平均本益比目前還是百倍附近
真的覺得老年化中國消費力還可以大增?
其實很多人都有迷思 覺得中國gdp高 所以股市長期看漲
那是適用正常國家
但事實上
第一
中國上市公司金融業獲利佔一半以上 加上地產則約2/3 剩下的根本被榨乾
第二
中國gdp和多數產業關係不大
中國經濟總結就是
債務拉升不動產 不動產擔保債務
完美內循環
中國去年賣地36兆 商品房銷售75兆
台灣不動產交易包含二手才5000億
說台灣炒房致富的 看看中國 not even close
中國至少台灣的150倍
所以 你不是房地產相關產業
經濟增長跟你關係又不大
看gdp做股票根本沒屁用 做房市還比較有用
結論:
中國就像三十年前台灣 市場整天宰殺散戶
台灣股民身經百戰 去玩a股割韭菜簡直不要太容易
但要投資什麼內需型etf
中國gdp接近美國
但主要靠印鈔賣地墊高房價
企業總體獲利可能連日本都比不贏
目前股息率只有1-2%
基本面簡直沒法看
投資最好三思
--
Tags:
股票
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