U.S. soy acreage to surprisingly fall - 股票

1.原文連結：

https://goo.gl/3Hpffp


2.原文內容：

U.S. soy acreage to surprisingly fall as supplies build -USDA

標題：因為供應量充足，美國大豆種植面積意外減少


WASHINGTON, March 29 (Reuters) - U.S. soybean plantings will be unexpectedly
lower this year as farmers cut their acreage devoted to the oilseed by 1
percent amid sharply rising supplies, the U.S. Agriculture Department said on
Thursday.

星期四(剛剛)，美國農業部表示，今年大豆種植面積預期減少，

因為供應量急速上升1%，農夫將油仔種植地區縮減。


Corn acreage also will fall from 2017 while wheat seedings will rise by 3
percent, according to USDA’s annual prospective plantings report, which is
based on surveys of nearly 83,000 farmers taken during the first two weeks of
March.

近兩周對8萬三千戶農民調查，從2017年起，玉米種植面積下降，但小麥

種植面積將上升3%



USDA said that soybean plantings, despite the expected drop, will top corn
acreage for the first time since 1983. Both soybean and corn stocks stood at
their highest totals ever for March 1.

美國農業部發布，大豆種植面積僅管減少，但是自1983年還首次大於玉米，

而三月一號總計，大豆和玉米的庫存量，達到歷史新高。




The government said soybean acreage will total 88.982 million in 2018, down
from 90.142 million acres a year ago. Analysts’ forecasts for soybean
acreage ranged from 89.900 million to 92.600 million, according to a Reuters
survey.

美國政府發部，大豆種植面積預期比去年的90.142百萬單位還少，

2018年預期為88.982百萬單位。根據路透社報導，分析師預測大豆種植面積

區間為89.9百萬~92.6百萬單位。



U.S. soybean supplies as of March 1 totaled 2.107 billion bushels, up 21
percent from a year earlier, USDA said in its quarterly stocks report. That
was near the high end of forecasts ranging from 1.810 billion bushels to
2.110 billion bushels.

三月一號統計，第一季美國大豆供應量為2.107百萬bushels，比過往高出21個百分比，

這在預測值1.810百萬到2.110百萬的區間內，偏高。


Soybean stocks were on the rise as China, the world’s largest soy importer,
has focused on Brazilian supplies to meet its needs because the massive crop
harvested by U.S. farmers in 2017 suffered from low protein content.

中國是世界最大的大豆進口國，現在關注於巴西的供應狀況，

因為2017年美國收成的大豆蛋白質含量較低。


3.心得/評論：
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00:00整一發布報告，

大豆、玉米、小麥一反連續幾天的空頭，瞬間軋空，

但這件事奇怪的是，整篇報導對小麥是利空，

大豆及玉米的利多因素種植面積減少是因為供應量歷史新高，

而供應量過剩是個強大的利空，等於是多空參半，

小麥的連帶反應太奇怪，

報導最後說的關注巴西的產量，

以過去一段時間的氣候來講，將來的巴西大豆產量會是較往常高的，

甚至歷史新高，但會不會因為這樣分析師高估，反而

實際數據低於預估，且市場關注於阿根廷旱災造成的產量減少，

造成原本的利多消息被掩蓋，到是個未定之局......


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