Re: 關於 IRR內部報酬率 - 保險
By Liam
at 2010-11-04T21:18
at 2010-11-04T21:18
Table of Contents
→ suleyman:IRR並不是將還本金排除在系統 這篇的說法根本就錯... 11/04 19:41
→ suleyman:IRR是直接假設再投資報酬率=IRR而得出的結果 11/04 19:42
→ suleyman:所以拿來評估還本型時才會有爭議點.... 11/04 19:42
→ suleyman:因為目前小額美金的再投資報酬率(例如美金定存) 11/04 19:42
→ suleyman:其利率遠遠不及市面上外幣保單的IRR 11/04 19:43
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internal_rate_of_return#Definition
不好意思我只不到中文網頁有解釋比較清楚的!
IRR的定義就可以分兩個角度來說明:
1.
The internal rate of return on an investment or project is the "annualized
effective compounded return rate" or discount rate that makes the net present
value of all cash flows (both positive and negative) from a particular
investment equal to zero.
將一個投資案的過程的每期現金流量(包含正或負)折現到現值,使其為零的折現率
即為IRR。
2.
The IRR of an investment is the interest rate at which the net present value
of costs (negative cash flows) of the investment equals the net present value
of the benefits (positive cash flows) of the investment.
更精確的說,投資案的過程中每期支出成本的現值會與報酬的現值相等。
我們把其中一個數學公式拿出來討論,
Cn
NPV= sigma(n=0)--------- = 0
(1+r)^n
NPV就是所謂的現值,Cn代表每期的不同現金流量。
如果使用IRR來評估還本型保單保單會有爭議點,
那這個公司裡的每期現金流量都不同,
也都會有爭議點,
那我們要一個公式還要限定不能有那麼多不同時期的現金流量(還本),
那這個公式有什麼存在的意義??
如果有一張保單繳十萬 連續三年可以領回五萬,那麼他的IRR=23%,
代表什麼意思?
第一年存銀行十萬 利率為23%,那麼每年我可以領回五萬,連續領三年!
如果有一張保單繳費10萬,隔年可以領回12.3萬,IRR=23%,
就如同銀行利率23%一樣,所以兩張保單就好像同一家銀行。
這就是IRR存在的價值,至於你說每年領回的五萬是不是要在放回銀行或是花掉,
並不會改變銀行提供的利息是23%的事實!
也就是說如果我各自估算還本型的保單和非還本型的保單的IRR,
就如同評估兩家不同銀行的利率一樣,
至於是否要考慮再投資風險,那跟銀行本身一點關係也沒有,
是投資人要自行擬定的投資策略,此時當然可以把MIRR搬出來用!
--
http://vi1l3vu03.pixnet.net/blog
保險的數學方程式
這裡不賣保險只說保險
--
All Comments
By Ivy
at 2010-11-07T12:42
at 2010-11-07T12:42
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at 2010-11-11T00:00
at 2010-11-11T00:00
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at 2010-11-13T19:31
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at 2010-11-15T23:54
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