Q4中國黃豆 需求強勁供不應求 - 股票
By Jacky
at 2020-10-08T17:15
at 2020-10-08T17:15
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:
https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20201008004183-260410
2.原文內容:
街口投信指出,展望第4季,中國今年前7月共進口86億美元美國農產品,遠低於年初第一
階段中美貿易協議約定的全年365億美元,加計中國長江流域遭逢嚴重的水患衝擊,境內
對於黃豆等糧食的需求有增無減,預期第4季中國黃豆進口需求依舊強勁,全球供不應求
的狀況仍將持續。
街口投信表示,近來黃豆期貨價格創近2年半來的新高,除了美國總統川普提出小型財政
刺激計畫激勵風險性資產價格走揚外,正值黃豆播種期間的巴西,面臨著天候狀況不佳且
未來兩週降雨不足的問題,嚴重影響巴西黃豆的播種進度,有利於黃豆價格的表現;此外
,中國雖處黃金周假期,但已有中國貿易商開始訂購12月與明年1月的黃豆,顯示著中國
對於黃豆需求的迫切性。
3.心得/評論:
天候真的是農產品最大的敵人,南北半球都受到影響,看看黃豆的確表現超猛的。北
半球目前應該是黃豆收成的季節,過往價格偏弱才是,但現在這樣有點異常啊。畢竟種下
去到收成有很長一段時間,價格衝高是反應現在或未來?
錢輩們,您們怎麼看啊?
站上大神看法有多有空,並非一面倒,所以猜想行情仍可持續,祝大家波段多空都能狠賺
黃豆一把!
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