COVID-19對企業流動性的衝擊 - 股票
By Iris
at 2020-03-21T10:26
at 2020-03-21T10:26
Table of Contents
COVID-19對企業流動性的衝擊
來自於短期收入的急遽下降
導致公司最終可能由於無力償還短期債務而被迫破產
簡單的說 就是週轉不靈
而美國非金融公司短期債務在GDP中所佔比例
目前在歷史上是僅次於科技泡沫還有金融風暴時期的水平
https://macroscale.blogspot.com/2020/03/covid-19.html
所以對於信用或是持有現金部位不好的公司
這波都會一次帶走
其中最讓人擔憂的是金融壓力指數(Financial Stress Index)飆升
這個飆升已經超過科技泡沫時的水平 僅次於金融風暴
這非常的恐怖
https://www.financialresearch.gov/financial-stress-index/
但仔細觀察飆升的主因
來自於三大類 波動性 信貸 還有股價 最為明顯
其中波動性最為嚴重 甚至超越2008金融風暴時期的水平
這推估的原因 有可能來自於民眾對於未來的情緒瞬間逆轉
而加上ETF的盛行 一連串的連鎖效應 導致波動性加劇
甚至影響了股權價值
而信貸問題在前面已經提到過
如今資金與安全資產似乎慢慢也受到影響
若再加劇 這次的風暴絕對不亞於2008的大衰退
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