70歲老師賣掉生技股抱這2檔!老謝驚曝最 - 股票
By Hedda
at 2020-07-06T07:17
at 2020-07-06T07:17
Table of Contents
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1.原文連結:
https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20200703004888-260410
2.原文內容:
在新冠疫情推波助瀾下,市場狂炒生技股,搭上這波列車的投資人賺飽飽。(圖/達志影像/shutterstock)
在新冠疫情推波助瀾下,市場狂炒生技股,搭上這波列車的投資人賺飽飽。財信傳媒董事長謝金河透露,他的大學老師把手中1檔股價三位數的生技新藥股賣掉,換成台泥和台積電,還說把投資組合改變後,現在睡覺很安心;對此,老謝認為,若炒股,賺到差價就是贏家,但若是投資,領股息的「回報率」相對重要。
謝金河在臉書以「回報率的真諦:美元與黃金」為題發文表示,他的大學老師把手上一檔股價三位數的生技新藥股賣掉,換成台泥與台積電,老師自曝抱著生技股,抱上去又抱下來,抱了幾年也沒有看到營業額,當然也沒有股息可配,還說自己七十幾歲了,人生不用那麼衝,每年領股息就可以過生活。老師認為,「台泥把股票還原現金,殖利率超過10%,但看得懂的散戶不多;他坦言,把投資組合改變一下,現在睡覺很安心。」
謝金河指出,用這個角度來看,美元強勢變弱勢,最大的變數就是疫情衝擊下,美國Fed降息,利率貼近零,這麼一來,投資美元回報率接近零。很長一段時間,美元和其他貨幣保持很大利差,美元成了避險貨幣首選目標,這是美元強勢的主因。
「現在存美元,幾乎無息,這跟買黃子沒有什麼差別。」他分析,過去投資黃金的天敵就是黃金沒有利息收入,還要倒貼保管箱費用;現在美元、黃金都沒有利息,美元可以一直印,黃金也可以挖,但供應量有限,因此,投資黃金的位階拉近美元,美元弱勢,金價卻一度挑戰1800美元,黃金下一個目標是前幾年的1930美元天價,再往下看,2000美元也可能看得到!
「美元弱勢,台幣卻超強,這一陣子從境外滙回台灣的資金非常可怕,央行阻升台幣,效果也很有限,這股內資回流的錢湧入股市,把生技股及高價IC設計股拉升至天價,而且股價拉上去,卻挺在高檔,這個資金瘋狗浪是30年僅見。」
謝金河強調,投資與投機的差別在回報率,股價可以炒到天價,但必須創造盈餘分配,如果純粹炒股,賺到差價就是贏家,但如果是投資,有沒有息可領?回報率是很重要的元素。
3.心得/評論:
老謝的朋友後來賣掉生技股
然後可以安心睡覺了
人稱反指標的老謝
是否會在這禮拜洗刷自己名聲
還是再次擦亮自己的招牌???
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股票
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