7/31操作心得-過均線,照規矩辦事~ - 股票
By Robert
at 2012-07-31T18:29
at 2012-07-31T18:29
Table of Contents
量增長紅,續攻。
我的單子以及操作計畫如下:
7/10收盤,跌破所有均線,放空一碼,成本8月7092,7口。
7/12盤中,獲利拉開一個波動率,加一碼,成本8月6989,7口。
7/18收盤,獲利又拉開一個波動率,加一碼,成本8月6902,7口。
7/30收盤,沒過50日,但和最大風險停損點靠太近,減碼12口,留9口,減碼單共虧損19
萬。
7/31收盤,紅棒收過50日線,餘下9口空單7176出場,共損失25萬。
本筆空單結束
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7/31收盤,紅棒收過50日線,進場6口多單,9月7138。
停損設50日線,加碼點暫設為突破7/4高點。
2010/1/1~2011/2/11PO文績效總結+28%(該帳戶總資金300萬,小資金操作法示範)
2011/2/12~2012/1/10PO文績效總結-9.97%(該帳戶總資金1300萬,大資金操作法示範)
2012/1/11至今,初始淨值1170萬,目前為1378-25=1353萬(未含目前未平倉部位損益)
期貨短線帳戶-
空手。
2010年PO文績效總結為+48%。
2011年PO文績效總結為+5.8%。
2012年目前+10.09%。
選擇權買方帳戶-
空手。
2011年PO文績效總結為+34.4%。
2012年目前-3%。
股票指數型投資帳戶-
2012年暫賺6%。
閱文必看事項:http://ppt.cc/kIwz
今天續漲,紅K收過了50日均線,我按照原則出空反多。
目前形態上的重點是7/4,突破就成為W底,否則就會變成中型的楔形。
這兩種都是好做的情況,前者是多頭底部形態,後者是空頭腰部形態。
只要不是在季線下和半年線之前彈跳,造成均線反覆被穿越,就不會太難做。
這次我就不用定點加碼,先抱著一碼單,跟著均線走,形態出來再加碼。
此是為了避免因要拉均線糾結而出現的彈跳走勢,控制帳戶連續損失的波動。
關於這筆空單操作,收到了幾個問題:
1.昨日彈到50日均線附近葛蘭畢法則中的加碼點,為何我減碼?
2.為何觸到風險的停損後,收盤還要空回來?
3.為何7/25開盤賺了近100萬還不出場,寧願一直抱到虧呢?
第一個問題,假如我當時只有1碼空單,那我昨日會加空。
這個加空的動作不代表我看空,只是依循著法則作。
但昨日已經很靠近我單子的風險停損點,不能加空,還得減碼,免得跳上去虧損過大。
風險考量要放於最上,沒有任何一筆單筆交易值得爆風險拼氣魄。
第二個問題,技術面停損點在50日線,也就是我以此線為留單的依據。
昨日雖觸即風險停損點,但是線沒過。
順勢系統特色是勝率低,但撈到時常常都是一大筆。
這表示,在線下若沒空單,有錯失波段獲利的可能。
解決的辦法,就是假裝盤中出掉,收盤留新空單,當作兩筆交易。
除非往下還有後備的系統能將單子空回來,否則沒單就是賭運氣。
賭贏的機率很高,因為系統的特色是勝率低,但這讓自己的操作失去原則。
只靠碰運氣,也不需要用系統式操作了。
第三個問題,我們用邏輯思考一下。
假設跌了100點就漲回停損點,有人會說,賺了100點還不出,抱到賠了吧,白癡。
假設跌了50點就漲回停損點,有人會說,賺了50點還不出,抱到賠了吧,白癡。
假設跌了20點就漲回停損點,有人會說,賺了20點沒出,抱到賠了吧,活該。
請問,那是不是要改成賺1點就出?還要賺幾點出?我看乾脆不要下單好了。
再做個假設,
假設跌100點出掉了,結果續跌了1000點,喔天,跟彩券丟了卻發現中頭獎一樣難過。
假設跌100點又反彈了50點,出了,後續跌了500點,有人會說,真遜,被反彈嚇出場。
假設想等賺500點,結果跌100點就反彈而停損,有人會說,你太貪心。
請問到底該怎作才對?
操作時不可能避免獲利回吐,不可能避免賺抱到賠,不可能不被洗。
所以要有固定的操作準則,才不會落在機率的陷阱,在這種必發生的事情上琢磨,沒用。
尤其在學習操作的過程中,會有一段時期以為自己掌握市場奧秘,預測超準,走勢盡在掌
握之中,有時還會佛心的告訴大家未來走勢;風險控管?不需要,反正老子預測準;覺得
別人的操作很笨,老子我能預測出高低點,強爆了。
隨便找個理財論壇看,會發現這種人滿滿皆是,但隔沒多久就換了一批面孔。
發現自己有這傾向時,千萬要注意。
--
我的單子以及操作計畫如下:
7/10收盤,跌破所有均線,放空一碼,成本8月7092,7口。
7/12盤中,獲利拉開一個波動率,加一碼,成本8月6989,7口。
7/18收盤,獲利又拉開一個波動率,加一碼,成本8月6902,7口。
7/30收盤,沒過50日,但和最大風險停損點靠太近,減碼12口,留9口,減碼單共虧損19
萬。
7/31收盤,紅棒收過50日線,餘下9口空單7176出場,共損失25萬。
本筆空單結束
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7/31收盤,紅棒收過50日線,進場6口多單,9月7138。
停損設50日線,加碼點暫設為突破7/4高點。
2010/1/1~2011/2/11PO文績效總結+28%(該帳戶總資金300萬,小資金操作法示範)
2011/2/12~2012/1/10PO文績效總結-9.97%(該帳戶總資金1300萬,大資金操作法示範)
2012/1/11至今,初始淨值1170萬,目前為1378-25=1353萬(未含目前未平倉部位損益)
期貨短線帳戶-
空手。
2010年PO文績效總結為+48%。
2011年PO文績效總結為+5.8%。
2012年目前+10.09%。
選擇權買方帳戶-
空手。
2011年PO文績效總結為+34.4%。
2012年目前-3%。
股票指數型投資帳戶-
2012年暫賺6%。
閱文必看事項:http://ppt.cc/kIwz
今天續漲,紅K收過了50日均線,我按照原則出空反多。
目前形態上的重點是7/4,突破就成為W底,否則就會變成中型的楔形。
這兩種都是好做的情況,前者是多頭底部形態,後者是空頭腰部形態。
只要不是在季線下和半年線之前彈跳,造成均線反覆被穿越,就不會太難做。
這次我就不用定點加碼,先抱著一碼單,跟著均線走,形態出來再加碼。
此是為了避免因要拉均線糾結而出現的彈跳走勢,控制帳戶連續損失的波動。
關於這筆空單操作,收到了幾個問題:
1.昨日彈到50日均線附近葛蘭畢法則中的加碼點,為何我減碼?
2.為何觸到風險的停損後,收盤還要空回來?
3.為何7/25開盤賺了近100萬還不出場,寧願一直抱到虧呢?
第一個問題,假如我當時只有1碼空單,那我昨日會加空。
這個加空的動作不代表我看空,只是依循著法則作。
但昨日已經很靠近我單子的風險停損點,不能加空,還得減碼,免得跳上去虧損過大。
風險考量要放於最上,沒有任何一筆單筆交易值得爆風險拼氣魄。
第二個問題,技術面停損點在50日線,也就是我以此線為留單的依據。
昨日雖觸即風險停損點,但是線沒過。
順勢系統特色是勝率低,但撈到時常常都是一大筆。
這表示,在線下若沒空單,有錯失波段獲利的可能。
解決的辦法,就是假裝盤中出掉,收盤留新空單,當作兩筆交易。
除非往下還有後備的系統能將單子空回來,否則沒單就是賭運氣。
賭贏的機率很高,因為系統的特色是勝率低,但這讓自己的操作失去原則。
只靠碰運氣,也不需要用系統式操作了。
第三個問題,我們用邏輯思考一下。
假設跌了100點就漲回停損點,有人會說,賺了100點還不出,抱到賠了吧,白癡。
假設跌了50點就漲回停損點,有人會說,賺了50點還不出,抱到賠了吧,白癡。
假設跌了20點就漲回停損點,有人會說,賺了20點沒出,抱到賠了吧,活該。
請問,那是不是要改成賺1點就出?還要賺幾點出?我看乾脆不要下單好了。
再做個假設,
假設跌100點出掉了,結果續跌了1000點,喔天,跟彩券丟了卻發現中頭獎一樣難過。
假設跌100點又反彈了50點,出了,後續跌了500點,有人會說,真遜,被反彈嚇出場。
假設想等賺500點,結果跌100點就反彈而停損,有人會說,你太貪心。
請問到底該怎作才對?
操作時不可能避免獲利回吐,不可能避免賺抱到賠,不可能不被洗。
所以要有固定的操作準則,才不會落在機率的陷阱,在這種必發生的事情上琢磨,沒用。
尤其在學習操作的過程中,會有一段時期以為自己掌握市場奧秘,預測超準,走勢盡在掌
握之中,有時還會佛心的告訴大家未來走勢;風險控管?不需要,反正老子預測準;覺得
別人的操作很笨,老子我能預測出高低點,強爆了。
隨便找個理財論壇看,會發現這種人滿滿皆是,但隔沒多久就換了一批面孔。
發現自己有這傾向時,千萬要注意。
--
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