6776展碁國際 (釘孤支.籌碼戰) - 股票

By Joseph
at 2021-04-07T23:29
at 2021-04-07T23:29
Table of Contents
展碁剛剛發財報,月增-7%,搞得人心惶惶。
這邊分享一下這幾天觀察到的心得。
不同意的就當我吹哨子壯膽,博君一笑。
這個時間買入展碁,擺明是同意T大對於籌碼穩定的分析,
打算來賭一把新上市後主力拉升一波自己跟著起飛。
“籌碼穩定”這個初衷,千萬不可以忘記。
那我們就來看一下這幾天的籌碼流動,有沒有改變當初買入的初衷。
首先,展碁在外流通的股票大概是一萬五千張。
這幾天的總成交量大概是一萬七千張,剛好換手一輪。
不過這不重要,我們要看的是“大戶”跟“券商”的動向。
過去四個交易日的券商進出統計,合計買超1446張,賣超3012張。
買賣超加總,這幾天券商共"出貨"了1566張。
https://concords.moneydj.com/z/zc/zco/zco_6776_3.djhtm
1566張.....比今天已經量縮的成交量都還不如.......
賣出的均價大概在61塊左右而已,
而買超的買入成本均價在65.2,只略低於今天的收盤價。
你覺得那些買超的券商就這樣滿足了嗎?
外資買超80張這個就不要理他了。
大戶籌碼集中度,雖然在4/1有降低,但是仍舊有高達將近80%的籌碼在大戶手上。
集中度降低那是因為上市之後散戶進場,股東人數變多,所以會拉低集中度。
https://www.wantgoo.com/stock/6776/major-investors/concentration
根據4/1的統計,相比於3/26,400張以上的大戶持有的張數不變,
4/1股價拉到近期高點,大戶不動如山,意味著什麼?
整體股東人數大幅飆升,表示什麼?表示散戶進場了。
https://norway.twsthr.info/StockHolders.aspx?stock=6776
這時候消息面的財報來個-7%,最適合拿來割韭菜了。
所以總結來看,“籌碼穩定”這個初衷並沒有改變。
而所謂“大戶都已經下車”也沒有發生。
財報這種消息面的東西,只是拿來當作操作股價戲弄散戶的藉口而已。
真的要殺下去吃貨還是拉上去出貨,難道還真的需要什麼理由嗎?
三月財報,才單月而已,今天如果你是大戶,你會因為這個-7%就下車?
如果這兩天有在注意盤面五檔的應該可以注意到,
賣壓很輕,吃掉五檔不用一百張。今天從62.7一口氣拉到66.4中間不到兩百張。
雖然沒人刻意殺下去,但是在63附近一直就下不去了。
當然,財報畢竟是-7%,明天一定有散戶急著離場。
但是就像剛剛說的,財報只是拿來嚇嚇散戶而已。
至於你自認是準備被割,還是在車上等著發車,那就是個人的選擇了。
※ 引述《TccReD (T € c,,)》之銘言:
: 1. 標的:6776展碁國際
: 2. 分類:釘孤支多
: 3. 分析/正文:
: 之前2/1分享過70~73的全宇昕6651
: 短短10個交易日大漲到139.5將近1倍
: 還有最近很夯的AES上市後短短7天從368漲到573
: 大漲55.7%
: 來聊聊為何看好6776展碁國際會比6781的AES-KY還飆
: 我說過新股掛牌首重籌碼
: 新股會噴發就是籌碼換手戰
: 因為籌碼很輕.在外籌碼少
: 大戶一拉就噴出
: 所以先來看一下6776的籌碼
: 目前展碁國際累積到3/26的籌碼
: https://i.imgur.com/9kTYLeH.png
: 400張以上大戶持有64955張股票.佔有88.08%股權
: 表示在外籌碼只有8793張在散戶手上
: 加上這次競拍的5328張以及抽籤的1431張
: 等於在外籌碼有15552張
: https://i.imgur.com/QA5xDSc.png
: 而且內部人持有49044張佔股份66.50%
: 這些內部人是無法隨意賣股的
: 要經過申報轉讓才能賣出
: 所以更加深了展碁國際的籌碼安定性
: 再來比較一下AES剛上市時的籌碼
: https://i.imgur.com/MT72TQB.png
: 400張以上大戶持有70211張股票.佔有82.2%股權
: 表示在外籌碼只有15208張在散戶手上
: 加上這次競拍的14734張以及抽籤的3683張
: 等於剛上市在外流通籌碼就有33625張
: 由以上籌碼比較
: 可以發現在外籌碼張數多的AES掛牌當天到昨日為止已經大漲55.7%
: 那6776展碁國際在外籌碼比AES更少張.股價又比AES-KY親民許多
: 那6776展碁國際股價會不會噴得比AES更猛更快呢?
: 再來從基本面來比較一下展碁國際和AES-KY
: 展碁國際去年全年賺2.63元EPS
: AES-KY去年賺14.17元EPS
: 昨天AES-KY大漲到573元.本益比來到40倍
: 順帶一提之前分享過的6651全宇昕
: 去年全年賺4.17元
: 上櫃後大漲到173.5最高價
: 換算本益比也高達41.6倍!
: 如果用40倍本益比來換算展碁國際.股價有機會破百
: 用低一點的30倍本益比來換算好了
: 展碁國際股價也有機會接近80元
: 只要前五天特定大戶進場鎖碼掃貨把少量的在外流通股票通通吃走
: 加上股價又比AES低很多
: 這樣要噴的比AES猛應該是小菜一碟
: 順帶一提
: 今天個人把6221和2467都獲利出清了.資金通通轉押寶6776新股上櫃行情
: 給各位參考
: 所以個人目前僅看好6776展碁國際.3357台慶科
: 之後就不追蹤6221晉泰.2467志聖
: 4. 進退場機制:
: 進場:個人今天收盤前梭哈ALL IN釘孤支.抱股過清明連假
: 停利:80~105
: 停損:破今天開盤價
: 分享個人操作給各位參考
: 所有文章只是記錄本人看好的標的.不具任何推薦買賣的意圖
: 投資一定有風險
: 購買前應謹慎考慮.盈虧自負
: -----
: Sent from JPTT on my iPhone
--
這邊分享一下這幾天觀察到的心得。
不同意的就當我吹哨子壯膽,博君一笑。
這個時間買入展碁,擺明是同意T大對於籌碼穩定的分析,
打算來賭一把新上市後主力拉升一波自己跟著起飛。
“籌碼穩定”這個初衷,千萬不可以忘記。
那我們就來看一下這幾天的籌碼流動,有沒有改變當初買入的初衷。
首先,展碁在外流通的股票大概是一萬五千張。
這幾天的總成交量大概是一萬七千張,剛好換手一輪。
不過這不重要,我們要看的是“大戶”跟“券商”的動向。
過去四個交易日的券商進出統計,合計買超1446張,賣超3012張。
買賣超加總,這幾天券商共"出貨"了1566張。
https://concords.moneydj.com/z/zc/zco/zco_6776_3.djhtm
1566張.....比今天已經量縮的成交量都還不如.......
賣出的均價大概在61塊左右而已,
而買超的買入成本均價在65.2,只略低於今天的收盤價。
你覺得那些買超的券商就這樣滿足了嗎?
外資買超80張這個就不要理他了。
大戶籌碼集中度,雖然在4/1有降低,但是仍舊有高達將近80%的籌碼在大戶手上。
集中度降低那是因為上市之後散戶進場,股東人數變多,所以會拉低集中度。
https://www.wantgoo.com/stock/6776/major-investors/concentration
根據4/1的統計,相比於3/26,400張以上的大戶持有的張數不變,
4/1股價拉到近期高點,大戶不動如山,意味著什麼?
整體股東人數大幅飆升,表示什麼?表示散戶進場了。
https://norway.twsthr.info/StockHolders.aspx?stock=6776
這時候消息面的財報來個-7%,最適合拿來割韭菜了。
所以總結來看,“籌碼穩定”這個初衷並沒有改變。
而所謂“大戶都已經下車”也沒有發生。
財報這種消息面的東西,只是拿來當作操作股價戲弄散戶的藉口而已。
真的要殺下去吃貨還是拉上去出貨,難道還真的需要什麼理由嗎?
三月財報,才單月而已,今天如果你是大戶,你會因為這個-7%就下車?
如果這兩天有在注意盤面五檔的應該可以注意到,
賣壓很輕,吃掉五檔不用一百張。今天從62.7一口氣拉到66.4中間不到兩百張。
雖然沒人刻意殺下去,但是在63附近一直就下不去了。
當然,財報畢竟是-7%,明天一定有散戶急著離場。
但是就像剛剛說的,財報只是拿來嚇嚇散戶而已。
至於你自認是準備被割,還是在車上等著發車,那就是個人的選擇了。
※ 引述《TccReD (T € c,,)》之銘言:
: 1. 標的:6776展碁國際
: 2. 分類:釘孤支多
: 3. 分析/正文:
: 之前2/1分享過70~73的全宇昕6651
: 短短10個交易日大漲到139.5將近1倍
: 還有最近很夯的AES上市後短短7天從368漲到573
: 大漲55.7%
: 來聊聊為何看好6776展碁國際會比6781的AES-KY還飆
: 我說過新股掛牌首重籌碼
: 新股會噴發就是籌碼換手戰
: 因為籌碼很輕.在外籌碼少
: 大戶一拉就噴出
: 所以先來看一下6776的籌碼
: 目前展碁國際累積到3/26的籌碼
: https://i.imgur.com/9kTYLeH.png
: 400張以上大戶持有64955張股票.佔有88.08%股權
: 表示在外籌碼只有8793張在散戶手上
: 加上這次競拍的5328張以及抽籤的1431張
: 等於在外籌碼有15552張
: https://i.imgur.com/QA5xDSc.png
: 而且內部人持有49044張佔股份66.50%
: 這些內部人是無法隨意賣股的
: 要經過申報轉讓才能賣出
: 所以更加深了展碁國際的籌碼安定性
: 再來比較一下AES剛上市時的籌碼
: https://i.imgur.com/MT72TQB.png
: 400張以上大戶持有70211張股票.佔有82.2%股權
: 表示在外籌碼只有15208張在散戶手上
: 加上這次競拍的14734張以及抽籤的3683張
: 等於剛上市在外流通籌碼就有33625張
: 由以上籌碼比較
: 可以發現在外籌碼張數多的AES掛牌當天到昨日為止已經大漲55.7%
: 那6776展碁國際在外籌碼比AES更少張.股價又比AES-KY親民許多
: 那6776展碁國際股價會不會噴得比AES更猛更快呢?
: 再來從基本面來比較一下展碁國際和AES-KY
: 展碁國際去年全年賺2.63元EPS
: AES-KY去年賺14.17元EPS
: 昨天AES-KY大漲到573元.本益比來到40倍
: 順帶一提之前分享過的6651全宇昕
: 去年全年賺4.17元
: 上櫃後大漲到173.5最高價
: 換算本益比也高達41.6倍!
: 如果用40倍本益比來換算展碁國際.股價有機會破百
: 用低一點的30倍本益比來換算好了
: 展碁國際股價也有機會接近80元
: 只要前五天特定大戶進場鎖碼掃貨把少量的在外流通股票通通吃走
: 加上股價又比AES低很多
: 這樣要噴的比AES猛應該是小菜一碟
: 順帶一提
: 今天個人把6221和2467都獲利出清了.資金通通轉押寶6776新股上櫃行情
: 給各位參考
: 所以個人目前僅看好6776展碁國際.3357台慶科
: 之後就不追蹤6221晉泰.2467志聖
: 4. 進退場機制:
: 進場:個人今天收盤前梭哈ALL IN釘孤支.抱股過清明連假
: 停利:80~105
: 停損:破今天開盤價
: 分享個人操作給各位參考
: 所有文章只是記錄本人看好的標的.不具任何推薦買賣的意圖
: 投資一定有風險
: 購買前應謹慎考慮.盈虧自負
: -----
: Sent from JPTT on my iPhone
--
Tags:
股票
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