6186 新潤 - 股票
By Isabella
at 2020-05-06T21:13
at 2020-05-06T21:13
Table of Contents
1. 標的：6186 新潤
2. 分類：多
3. 分析/正文：
大家好 這次南茂哥又來發文了
此次推薦6186 新潤 上櫃營建股
看我以前發的標的文 我平常就會買有機會營收大爆發的營建股
舉凡以前的冠德 宏盛 興富發等 都有賺到 所以有點小心得
營建股會噴上去通常都是當年及未來建案都持續認列才有機會
今年我認為比較有機會就是6186新潤 分析如下
因建案今年很多 2020 EPS 有機會高達6~7元
2020年第一季因新潤A18 及 翠峰持續認列 EPS第一季應該會在2元以上
今年還有橋峰168 幸福莊園2 新潤鉑麗 等會在第3季認列
新潤興業 2020 年將推出包含土城 - 金城路案、土城斬龍山公園案、淡水新市二路案、
新莊產專區商辦案以及泰山捷運 A5 案，總銷金額達 100 億元，總銷戶數為 700 戶
直接總結如下
2019 EPS:4.21元
2020 EPS:6~7元(預估)
2021 EPS:4元以上(預估)
2022 EPS:4元以上(預估)
營收大爆發就是在今年 營建股特色就是在營收大爆發那年有機會股價往上
目前股價約30元 今年EPS 至少6元 再往上機會應該很大
此間公司還蠻有誠意 2018年沒賺錢 還有拿公積金配息1元
近期幾天要公布股利了
新潤去年第4季 帳上現金還有10億 公司股本目前10億
發現金股利2元以上應該不是難事(只要2億現金)
目前我預估應該是現金股利2元以上 股票股利1元以上
如股利超過預期 應該有機會公布股利後隔天噴一波
這次就不貼對帳單了 個人買了幾十張 獲利了結再貼
最重要的是
此檔股本小 或許可靠PTT法人幫忙拉抬一下
4. 進退場機制：(非長期投資者，必須有停損機制)
停利 40元以上
不停損
--
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