2834 臺企銀 - 股票
By Sandy
at 2018-03-25T13:14
at 2018-03-25T13:14
Table of Contents
1. 標的:
2834 臺企銀
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得
多/長期持有
3. 分析/正文:
目前股價在低檔 也在可以存的價 (五年平均約 6.5%)
基本上 官股 低檔 金融 應該算穩 結束 (很混) (艸)
...重寫
大致來說最近營收一直年增 盈餘也成長,
低本益比、低股淨比、穩定賺錢配息,
放款部份, 以企業貸款為主 (企銀嘛...)
不過以 "有擔保" 的部份居多,
這可能表示 放款對像 都是些信用等級不夠的傢伙 (創業? 中小企業?)
如果升息+景氣反轉, 可能呆帳會不少, 抵壓的資產也會跌價
近一年來有從企業貸款慢慢移往消費金融的傾向
外匯部份, 最大部位是美元, 近期大概吃不少損
轉投資部份, 看起來主要是大陸 (符合年報計劃 "深耕亞太")
還有一家 "柬埔寨微型財務分公司"...www
Ref: http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/business/breakingnews/2211587
好微妙的名字 XDD 而且柬埔寨...博奕大國, 治安又不好,
在那開很刺激八...
總之, 原本以為是穩健保守的官股銀行,
對它有點改觀了
總結
以近年表現、淨值等方面來看, 現價無疑是低,
因此設定為買入後長抱, 不預設停利
(一定要的話就設淨值 12.29, 或領三年份股息約 +1.7 元)
但是從各方面來看算蠻容易受大環境影響,
確認景氣開始衰退的話從當時起算半年內出場
4. 進退場機制:(非長期投資者,必須有停損機制)
8.8 塊以下穩穩存 長抱領息不停損,
( 謎之音 : 8.7 塊不能再高了 (誤) )
淨賺 1.7 塊以上可考慮停利換股
若景氣反轉 開始衰退 則速速退場
--
我小孬孬在這大跌的摸門特只敢推相對穩的官股銀
如果不介意股價亂震大局不穩的話
8103 3390 3558 也是可以考慮
--
Tags:
股票
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