2633 台灣高鐵 長多 - 股票
By Linda
at 2018-06-15T11:14
at 2018-06-15T11:14
Table of Contents
標的:台灣高鐵 2633
分類:長多
分析:
1.壟斷事業
台灣高鐵屬於壟斷事業,不像飛機、客運還有民營競爭對手,如果以香港小巴的態來看
,長期應是看多
一直以來財報都不是很好看,負債、清算議題也一直重演,但台灣再怎麼內耗,我想公
眾運輸系統應該是不會有倒閉的一天
2.需求性
增加站點我個人覺得是增加支出,不利營收。但機捷通車、桃園高鐵站周邊的建案越來
越多,通勤族群大量增加
3.站體開發BOT的營收
機捷因為機場捷運開發BOT案,光一個站點獲得數十億的資金,未來的機電汰換都不成
問題,當年這個案子就是由高鐵局主辦
若,其餘站點的獲利挹注到高鐵局(目前還再跟桃園市政府商議),這是筆可觀的數字
4.以前爭論的漲價問題
我覺得這部分真的是公眾運輸的原罪,但也回歸到第一項壟斷事業,營收增加跟減少不
都有政府、國庫甚至關股銀行再支撐嗎
所以,我個人認為長期持有應該是個不錯的標的,但還是想跟各位前輩討論
--
分類:長多
分析:
1.壟斷事業
台灣高鐵屬於壟斷事業,不像飛機、客運還有民營競爭對手,如果以香港小巴的態來看
,長期應是看多
一直以來財報都不是很好看,負債、清算議題也一直重演,但台灣再怎麼內耗,我想公
眾運輸系統應該是不會有倒閉的一天
2.需求性
增加站點我個人覺得是增加支出,不利營收。但機捷通車、桃園高鐵站周邊的建案越來
越多,通勤族群大量增加
3.站體開發BOT的營收
機捷因為機場捷運開發BOT案,光一個站點獲得數十億的資金,未來的機電汰換都不成
問題,當年這個案子就是由高鐵局主辦
若,其餘站點的獲利挹注到高鐵局(目前還再跟桃園市政府商議),這是筆可觀的數字
4.以前爭論的漲價問題
我覺得這部分真的是公眾運輸的原罪,但也回歸到第一項壟斷事業,營收增加跟減少不
都有政府、國庫甚至關股銀行再支撐嗎
所以,我個人認為長期持有應該是個不錯的標的,但還是想跟各位前輩討論
--
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