2330台積電 做一周空 - 股票
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-03-21T14:27
at 2021-03-21T14:27
Table of Contents
以EPS來看
就算EPS幾年後真的成長到30好了
誰能肯定幾年後外資肯給20倍 30倍本益比?
資金行情過去之後 30本益比是不可能
所以900不可能了
五年後eps 30 給你樂觀本益比20好了
股價也才600
然後你要套五年
如果外資認為台海和平有什麼危機
或是三星什麼迎頭趕上
或是晶片需求據減
本益比給你10
那麼可怕的事情就會發生
股價腰斬 300
你以為的不可能
都變成事實
狼來了的結局
就是狼真的來了
※ 引述《aass5566 (挑戰國考第5年)》之銘言
: 漲多就是最大的利空
: 跌多就是最大的利多
: 台積電現在591 空的肉也不多 空這幹嘛?
: 說到底 股票看的就是EPS
: 尤其是未來的EPS
: 2019Q4 EPS 5.5
: 法說會都說啦~
: 這幾年就是每年10-15%成長
: 幾年後EPS就會到30
: 就算給低本益比20倍 股價保底也是600
: 加上技術全球第一 如果本益比30倍 股價就是900
: 600以下買的 根本就是0風險啦~
: 我從630買到679
: 又從679買到595
就算EPS幾年後真的成長到30好了
誰能肯定幾年後外資肯給20倍 30倍本益比?
資金行情過去之後 30本益比是不可能
所以900不可能了
五年後eps 30 給你樂觀本益比20好了
股價也才600
然後你要套五年
如果外資認為台海和平有什麼危機
或是三星什麼迎頭趕上
或是晶片需求據減
本益比給你10
那麼可怕的事情就會發生
股價腰斬 300
你以為的不可能
都變成事實
狼來了的結局
就是狼真的來了
※ 引述《aass5566 (挑戰國考第5年)》之銘言
: 漲多就是最大的利空
: 跌多就是最大的利多
: 台積電現在591 空的肉也不多 空這幹嘛?
: 說到底 股票看的就是EPS
: 尤其是未來的EPS
: 2019Q4 EPS 5.5
: 法說會都說啦~
: 這幾年就是每年10-15%成長
: 幾年後EPS就會到30
: 就算給低本益比20倍 股價保底也是600
: 加上技術全球第一 如果本益比30倍 股價就是900
: 600以下買的 根本就是0風險啦~
: 我從630買到679
: 又從679買到595
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