2011/10/28 盤中閒聊 - 期貨
By Sandy
at 2011-10-28T13:13
at 2011-10-28T13:13
Table of Contents
→ IBIZA:均線就是統計啊@@ 10/28 12:50
→ IBIZA:不然均線是甚麼? XD 10/28 12:50
→ IBIZA:技術分析事實上就是建立在統計上.. 10/28 12:52
→ are2:如果他是統計 那就是平均數 那所有的價格超過都會回到均線 10/28 12:52
→ are2:那是不懂統計的人在說的 你有聽過統計系的人特別會技術分析? 10/28 12:53
這兩段話不懂，願聞其詳。 可能我學過的時間序列跟大家不太一樣(?)
→ IBIZA:你說的這個東西叫作常態分布 這是統計的一部分 但常態分布 10/28 12:53
→ IBIZA:不等於統計... 10/28 12:53
→ IBIZA:基本上現在華爾街要找人建立分析模型 通常都會找數學系的吧 10/28 12:54
→ IBIZA:我覺得你應該先去搞清楚甚麼是統計才對...XD 10/28 12:54
→ are2:但是他們找的人 絕對不適一個會用指標的人 10/28 12:55
請問他們找會用什麼的人? → are2:華爾街一堆做計量經濟學博士 沒甚麼研究指標的 10/28 12:58
→ are2:其實指標是時間數列的一種應用 10/28 12:59
→ are2:但是時間數列你沒經過檢定 那你就不能說它有效 10/28 12:59
→ are2:均線也是時間數列的一種 你有空去把ARMA這類的東西看過 10/28 13:00
時間序列不就統計學的一支 你說均線是時間序列，又說它不是統計
搞得我好亂啊XD
OK就算檢定過後發現沒有效力
但不代表它就不是統計的一環啊
→ are2:均線跟常態分配又是兩碼子事 10/28 13:00
→ are2:重點是統計學拿來作盤沒啥屁用啊 10/28 13:01
請問are2大是如何做盤，願聞其詳:) --
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