20090730 盤後閒聊 - 期貨
By Ethan
at 2009-07-30T13:52
at 2009-07-30T13:52
Table of Contents
> 9859 ← 突破這裡我就推倒女友!
> 7384 ← 大M頭頸線反壓
> 7189 ← 壓力
現貨今日高點 7068 點
> 7038 ← 支撐,跌破多方初步轉弱
> 6954 ← 支撐
今日殺盤破雙支撐,多方初步轉弱
> 6861 ← 支撐,與月均線形成雙線支撐
現貨今日低點 6944 點
> 6791 ← 支撐
> 6651 ← 支撐,與季線形成雙線強支撐
> 現貨今日開高走低作收,量為增,線為長陰,2日形成空方貫穿,再由
> 各期指觀之,普遍亦為開高走低作結,唯非金電指數多方較強,以此來
> 看,明日盤勢盤跌為大,金融、電子壓回整理,傳產多方撐盤,今日盤
> 勢量出開高走低,已有出貨現象,短線空方站上風,不過昨日長陽低點
> 推測回測一次不易跌破,此處多方會有抵抗,至於多方抵抗之成敗則需
> 再觀察;另外,明日摩台指結算,有人在猜拉高還是壓低結?個人猜壓
> 低結算,來看看明日現貨最後一盤是不是摜壓吧 @@
台股今日開低走低作收,不過低檔仍有多方抵抗,而較意外的是,前日
長陽低點今一舉摜破,且破雙支撐後多方方作抵抗,盤勢空方勝出,不
過早盤殺盤量小沒有追空,而是盤勢見低後作了反彈,我便開始作空,
然後當然是空單被咬,今分線量價線結構與撐壓皆無用,作空損近70
點,盤跌成這樣我作空還賠…今天簡直可以與傳說中的雙巴昌並論,重
點是今天作單作到有點情緒化…我也真不簡單 XD 而個股方面仍空手觀
望,不過短線盤勢仍是偏空以對,目前我還找不到波段作多的理由,個
股要作多可以…不過要很用功找,現在已經不是閉著眼睛隨便買隨便就
會賺的強多盤,且近日個股利多皆不漲,作多真的要謹慎…。
結果摩台拉高結算,猜錯了,今天一整個失敗 0.0
新番:
9859 ← 突破這裡我就推倒女友!
7384 ← 大M頭頸線反壓
7185 ← 壓力
7068 ← 短壓,多方突破,則盤勢進入高檔區間盤局
6944 ← 短支撐,此處摜破為多方抵抗失敗,空方續強
6861 ← 支撐,與月均線形成雙線支撐
6791 ← 支撐
6651 ← 支撐,與季線形成雙線強支撐
現貨今日開低走低,低檔逢多方抵抗,今線收了單鎚線,為多方抵抗明
確,但觀各期指,今普遍收了多空平分線,所以現貨的拉抬是否因為摩
台結算或為多方真抵抗,必需明日作確認,若多方抵抗為實,則後續今
低不可破,跌破則盤勢續行空方勢,故今低有守則低接作多可行,但若
今低再摜破,則多方不可再進,而就今日盤勢收盤結構來看,明日應該
要開高盤,此意在多方抵抗力道確認延續,若明開高盤再配合盤勢增量
,則明日收漲機會高,量縮則為盤局,但若明日開低盤,則今低回測機
會高,此對多方極為不利,而由三大期指來看,明日多方撐盤重心在於
電子,所以明日盤勢欲作反彈,唯開高量出電子攻擊,則大勢可成,若
電子走軟而盤又為量縮,則盤勢盤局或盤跌作結為大,希望今日盤勢不
是因為摩台結算而作拉抬,不然…該還的還是得還。
--
夜空に星が瞬くように
溶けたこころは離れない
たとえこの手が離れても
ふたりがそれを忘れぬ限り…
--
Tags:
期貨
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