1月人口「生不如死」加劇 房價末日提早到 - 股票

By Isla
at 2021-03-02T23:56
at 2021-03-02T23:56
Table of Contents
每次看到這種少子化導致房價未來會跌的論述就覺得莫名其妙。
我們又不是共產國家,用人頭分住宅喔?人口減少又沒差。
甚至少養一個小孩,省幾百萬,搞不好還更有錢買房咧。
就算今天人口減少10%好了。
都市一樣擠;鄉村一樣沒人。
真的有可能有影響的,也只有中間的區域。
而這個影響量可能根本抵不過通膨。
股市長期向上,房市也一樣。
只是股市誘惑太多很容易抱不住,大媽抱台積電十年都能上新聞。
房子就算暫時小跌,抱著的人大有人在。
也不會恐慌下跌,反回來導致價格更穩固。
穩定度比中華電還要高。
有人說要推囤房稅調高持有成本就能避免,有可能嗎?
你想想看 今天中華電跟你說,每年要扣2%股票管理費,自動扣血。
股利什麼的 會不會發、會不會填息、會不會漲都不管,總之先扣你2%
那中華電不是跌2%欸,而是猛跌,大概跌到70塊,才能維持住4%殖利率(6%-2%)
政府哪有可能讓房市暴跌?台灣有房的家戶比沒房的還多欸。 到底怎麼會覺得政府敢?
--
我們又不是共產國家,用人頭分住宅喔?人口減少又沒差。
甚至少養一個小孩,省幾百萬,搞不好還更有錢買房咧。
就算今天人口減少10%好了。
都市一樣擠;鄉村一樣沒人。
真的有可能有影響的,也只有中間的區域。
而這個影響量可能根本抵不過通膨。
股市長期向上,房市也一樣。
只是股市誘惑太多很容易抱不住,大媽抱台積電十年都能上新聞。
房子就算暫時小跌,抱著的人大有人在。
也不會恐慌下跌,反回來導致價格更穩固。
穩定度比中華電還要高。
有人說要推囤房稅調高持有成本就能避免,有可能嗎?
你想想看 今天中華電跟你說,每年要扣2%股票管理費,自動扣血。
股利什麼的 會不會發、會不會填息、會不會漲都不管,總之先扣你2%
那中華電不是跌2%欸,而是猛跌,大概跌到70塊,才能維持住4%殖利率(6%-2%)
政府哪有可能讓房市暴跌?台灣有房的家戶比沒房的還多欸。 到底怎麼會覺得政府敢?
--
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