0916 盤勢閒聊 - 投資
By Caitlin
at 2010-09-16T09:49
at 2010-09-16T09:49
Table of Contents
還好CAD再等等~~不然少賺囉...:PPP
日幣被干預了,不知昨天干預的當下你賺到了沒??
EUR、GBP走強
CHF已經來到了1:1
(就說我很強了吧!!!哈哈哈)
今晚有個小重頭戲
美國初次請領失業救濟金人數
不知大家的看法是如何??? GO~
--
今天下午兩點半有財經達人講可以看耶
主題:"為何基金投資人賺到的遠比想像中還要少"
http://www.gridow.com/talking/p7.htm
(如有不妥,等等修正)
※ 編輯: tnf 來自: 140.119.15.251 (09/16 09:51)
推 HatasonJa:保證金被干預了...XD 09/16 09:52
推 z1288:日元 力守85 09/16 10:04
推 sellon806:下午有空修揪來聽XD 09/16 10:07
→ tnf:修揪來聽,大手拉小手~(誤)...有問題都可以直接線上提出來唷 09/16 10:09
→ tnf:講師會及時回答的~~~ 09/16 10:09
→ tnf:我的GBP~~~喔喔喔~~~大家請不要嚇壞我的女王~~拜託~~ 09/16 10:32
→ tnf:讓她專心的往上爬吧!!!雖然速度不快~~~但歡樂價!!!衝呀!!! 09/16 10:32
推 NewYAWARA:不行,GBP必須要大跌,昨天強力放空現在死很慘 09/16 10:39
→ tnf:樓上,我揍你唷!!!當然要作多呀!!! 09/16 10:58
推 jlist:我想看日幣88的美女~~ 09/16 10:58
推 mykuan:美金好強 非美都跳水了@@ 09/16 16:32
→ mykuan:GBP跳最大.. 09/16 16:34
推 mykuan:好快 不到20分鐘又回來了...起伏那麼大 USD/JPY又上去 09/16 16:56
→ mykuan:日本又出手了? 09/16 16:56
推 stocktonty:趁美金漲當然要更多賣一些啊 更好拉 XD 09/16 17:17
推 murkmurk:歐元、黃金都衝上去了~ 09/16 19:02
→ geni:gold又新高了 科科...XD 09/16 19:22
→ joejoejoejoe:台銀黃金存摺20:00以前還可以買,價差還沒漲上來 09/16 19:26
→ geni:7:31更新價錢了T_T~ 09/16 19:32
推 Elly:美金有強? 9點時有覺得,但後來下午害我虧很大 09/16 19:42
→ Elly:瑞典幣當初我補回匯差就賣了,沒想到他飛上去了~跟南非幣飛走 09/16 19:43
→ vitaminb12:今天換瑞郎跳水... 09/16 20:18
→ ryanchao:SNB這招真狠...不過也有謠傳它入市了 09/16 20:43
→ ryanchao:SNB發佈對瑞士未來通膨水平的預期 09/16 20:44
→ ryanchao:2010(調為0.7%,先前為0.9%) 09/16 20:45
→ ryanchao:2011(調為0.3%,先前為1.0%) 09/16 20:45
→ ryanchao:2012(調為1.2%,先前為2.2%) 09/16 20:45
→ ryanchao:很明顯的可以看到在當前利率與匯率水平下... 09/16 20:45
→ ryanchao:瑞士央行將原先的通膨水平預測幾乎對砍 09/16 20:46
→ ryanchao:這意味著什麼? 09/16 20:46
→ ryanchao:強勢瑞郎已經對瑞士經濟造成顯著影響 09/16 20:46
→ ryanchao:雖不能說瑞士有重現通縮危機,但是低於通膨目標管理水準 09/16 20:47
→ ryanchao:對SNB的貨幣政策有很大的干擾... 09/16 20:47
→ ryanchao:瑞士央行很聰明的不在貨幣政策聲明上著墨是否干預瑞郎 09/16 20:48
→ ryanchao:但是用降低未來通膨水準方式來暗示未來政策空間 09/16 20:48
→ ryanchao:引導市場預期的改變倒是個很聰明的作法 09/16 20:48
→ ryanchao:這意味著未來瑞士央行仍有「很大機會」入市干預 09/16 20:49
→ ryanchao:不過短期間它應該會先看BOJ干預日元的成效如何 09/16 20:49
推 weichu45:看起來JPY好像準備玩盤整,算了,跟到此為止XD 09/16 20:55
推 TZUYIC:瑞郎翹起來了,藥吃很兇 09/16 20:58
→ weichu45:話說BOJ說這次干預的金額不沖銷,感覺好像就是暗示這次 09/16 20:59
→ weichu45:干預會傾向盤整型,因為不打算沖銷,之後再看看我是不是 09/16 21:00
→ weichu45:想太多?y 09/16 21:00
→ ryanchao:干預很少一次性...重點在「威攝」... 09/16 21:01
→ ryanchao:記得去年上半年某次SNB干預eur/chf 09/16 21:02
→ ryanchao:真的是「突襲」...美國數據公布時突襲一次 09/16 21:02
→ ryanchao:歐股收盤時再突襲一次... 09/16 21:02
→ ryanchao:eur/chf的空軍還沒有在第一次突襲回過神就被肛第二次 09/16 21:03
→ ryanchao:抄經典的...XDDDD 09/16 21:03
→ kiwi780702:換句話說JPY也會連續被肛嗎 科科 09/16 21:04
→ ryanchao:看美國態度啊...美國人如果「嘖嘖」...日本人救「惦惦」 09/16 21:06
→ ryanchao:不過如果再干預一次的話,市場有防備心理就比較沒那麼震 09/16 21:07
→ ryanchao:要嘛加大力道..一次拉到87以上... 09/16 21:08
→ ryanchao:把大概的波動區間拉出來... 09/16 21:08
→ ryanchao:等於宣示在這區間的波動我BOJ可以接受.... 09/16 21:09
→ ryanchao:超過我就要打臉了... 09/16 21:09
→ ryanchao:通常干預過後2~3天市場都會安靜 09/16 21:09
→ ryanchao:就像小孩剛被父母打時,總會有段時間會比較乖 09/16 21:10
→ ryanchao:但是過一段時間就會開始又蠢蠢欲動的皮 09/16 21:10
→ vitaminb12:日本干預、瑞士央行的報告~ 一天一個,真是巧阿~ 09/16 21:10
→ ryanchao:所以我是認為市場還是會尋求「測試」日銀底部的機會 09/16 21:10
→ ryanchao:瑞士央行的利率決策會議是早先排定的...非巧合 09/16 21:11
→ ryanchao:這兩天市場被BOJ與SNB的干預與「準干預」給搞一輪 09/16 21:12
→ ryanchao:短線走勢很扭曲...要小心一點... 09/16 21:12
→ ryanchao:提醒一下..這邊雖然是公共場合的發言 09/16 21:22
→ ryanchao:但是引用他人的看法請多少注意禮節...thx 09/16 21:22
→ tnf:有!!我昨天就被揍了...今天就好乖了...哈哈哈...:PPP 09/16 21:39
推 jamesshi:請問假如日本干預大買美元,那是不是表示有大戶在買美元 09/16 21:56
→ jamesshi:所以接下來美元漲非美跌呢? 09/16 21:57
→ jamesshi:原本市場的態勢感覺被日本干預給打亂了,有點不知怎麼操作 09/16 21:58
→ ryanchao:我是認為以目前時間波,市場情緒與股市原油等因素來看 09/16 22:03
→ ryanchao:非美還沒到會開始反轉大跌..(主要是美股還沒死) 09/16 22:03
→ ryanchao:倒是原油走勢要多注意一點...71是個關鍵.. 09/16 22:04
推 jamesshi:那如果日本政府意志堅決,引發市場情緒轉變,好難歐!! 09/16 22:06
→ ryanchao:意志有時候和能力不能畫上等號...>_< 09/16 22:06
→ ryanchao:日本政府的對手是每天有超過3~4兆實力的市場先生 09/16 22:07
→ jamesshi:會不會留一手呢?讓你以為很弱,等到你發現他很強已經來不 09/16 22:09
→ jamesshi:及了,雖然每天有300兆日圓在流通,可是如果市場一轉折, 09/16 22:11
→ jamesshi:這股力量也很恐怖 09/16 22:11
→ lanton:好恐怖的板標... 09/16 22:25
→ kiwi780702:感謝ry哥哥的詳細講解XD 09/16 22:36
→ tnf:謝謝ry叔精闢的講解...(筆記ing) 09/16 22:38
推 sellon806:感謝ry叔的講解(收下) 09/16 23:13
→ geni:我猜教訓遲早會來的! 干預直盤的貨幣不是能常常幹的事XD 09/17 00:30
→ geni:還有日本在大買USD!=有大戶在賣USD 也許會調節 09/17 00:33
→ geni:但是要短時間讓美元轉強 美元現在還沒那個條件~ 09/17 00:35
→ geni:就跟ry大大說的差不多 還沒教訓RMB JPY先來捅USD一刀 科科 09/17 00:37
推 jamesshi:所以美國先補日本一刀再來,拿機關槍打RMB嗎? 哈哈 09/17 00:48
→ geni:不知道 反正這幾天應該大家都在等是誰開下一槍XD? 09/17 01:16
→ geni:都創新高的AUD CHF都被拖下來 NZD也回比較大 09/17 01:21
→ geni:暫時沒地方去又沒回米金就先去EUR跟GBP這樣? 09/17 01:22
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