真的很想要不知道準不準的水晶球的話
紐約 FED 每天會發布 Term premium estimation
https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/data_indicators/term-premia-tabs#/
2023/01/12 的 10年期 term premium 估計是 -0.74%
至於這個estimation有多少可信度，就自己決定吧
--
So stand by your glasses steady,
Here’s good luck to the man in the sky,
Here’s a toast to the dead already,
Three cheers for the next man to die.
--
All Comments